Europa League Predictions

Weekly Europa League Betting Tips

Below you’ll find our weekly Europa League tips across the most popular football betting markets, including Correct Score, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), Over/Under 2.5 Goals, Total Shots on Target, and Match Result. These predictions draw on form analysis, group-stage dynamics, and knockout trends from Europe’s second-tier competition, covering everything from high-profile clashes between former Champions League regulars to tightly contested ties involving underdog clubs.

Europa League Betting Tips

Match	Betting tips
Young BoysLudogorets23/10/2025, 20:00	Correct Score: 2-2 BTTS: Yes Over 1.5 Goals: Yes Total SoT: Over 9.5 Match Result: Draw
Nottingham ForestPorto23/10/2025, 20:00	Correct Score: 2-1 BTTS: Yes Over 1.5 Goals: Yes Total SoT: Over 7.5 Match Result: Home Win
MalmoDinamo Zagreb23/10/2025, 20:00	Correct Score: 1-2 BTTS: Yes Over 1.5 Goals: Yes Total SoT: Over 7.5 Match Result: Away Win
Maccabi Tel AvivMidtjylland23/10/2025, 20:00	Correct Score: 1-2 BTTS: Yes Over 1.5 Goals: Yes Total SoT: Over 7.5 Match Result: Away Win
LillePAOK23/10/2025, 20:00	Correct Score: 2-0 BTTS: No Over 1.5 Goals: Yes Total SoT: Over 4.5 Match Result: Home Win

Europa League Outrights Tips for 2025/2026 Season

Outright betting in the Europa League involves forecasting season-long outcomes such as who will lift the trophy, who will reach the knockout rounds, which clubs will be eliminated entirely under the new format with no drop into the Conference League, or who will finish as the competition’s top scorer. Europa League outright bets are typically placed before the tournament begins, but the markets remain open throughout the campaign to reflect developments such as player transfers, managerial changes, or surprise results in the group stage. The most common Europa League outrights include To Win Outright, To Reach The Final, Group Winner, To Qualify For The Last 16, and Top Goalscorer.

Below are our expert predictions for the 2025/26 Europa League season.

Who will win the Europa League this season?

Aston Villa are the bookmakers’ favourites at 6/1 (14.3%) to win the 2025/26 Europa League, with Unai Emery’s record in this competition and the squad’s Premier League progress making them a natural frontrunner. Yet in our view, AS Roma at 9/1 (10%) are the most convincing candidate, with Gian Piero Gasperini’s tactical structure, clever recruitment, and a track record of success in European knockout formats giving them an edge. Another club likely to win the Europa League this season is FC Porto at 11/1 (8.3%), whose European pedigree and balanced squad make them one of the most dangerous contenders in the tournament.

More information about the 3 most likely candidates to win the Europa League this season is given below.

• AS Roma (9/1, 10%). Roma are our top choice to win the Europa League this season. Gian Piero Gasperini has arrived as manager, bringing his trademark tactical flexibility and ability to maximise squad performance in high-pressure European ties. Roma strengthened wisely over the summer with additions such as Leon Bailey and Evan Ferguson, who inject pace and goals into an already well-organised team. Roma’s blend of experience and youth, combined with their ability to thrive in knockout football, makes them the strongest candidate to lift the Europa League trophy in 2025/26.
• Aston Villa (6/1, 14.3%). Aston Villa are the second strongest candidate to win the Europa League this season. Their run of form in England under Unai Emery has been impressive, and his history in this competition – four-time winner – gives them an advantage few other clubs possess. Aston Villa’s squad is deep enough to handle both domestic and European demands, with a balance between defensive strength and attacking variety that positions Villa as a serious challenger.
• FC Porto (11/1, 8.3%). FC Porto are the third most likely club to win the Europa League this season. With decades of experience in European competitions, Porto know how to navigate difficult knockout fixtures and balance their squad across campaigns. Porto’s structure remains stable under Francesco Farioli (who signed a two-year contract on 6 July 2025), and their ability to combine technical midfield play with clinical finishing makes them a dangerous opponent for anyone. Porto’s pedigree and depth ensure they are a leading contender for the trophy.

Who is most likely to reach the final in the Europa League this season?

Aston Villa lead the market at 13/5 (27.8%) to reach the Europa League final, reflecting Unai Emery’s record in the competition and the stability brought by retaining Ollie Watkins. Roma follow at 4/1 (20%) with new coach Gian Piero Gasperini and a squad boosted by smart summer additions, giving them the tactical edge in knockout football. Porto at 9/2 (18.2%) and Lille at 10/1 (9.1%) are strong contenders as well, with Porto’s experience and new signings strengthening their case, while Lille look bolstered by the arrival of Olivier Giroud and their proven European pedigree.

More information about the 4 most likely candidates to reach the Europa League final this season is given below.

• AS Roma (4/1, 20%). Roma are a leading contender to make the Europa League final. The arrival of Gian Piero Gasperini provides a clear tactical identity, one well suited to knockout ties. Summer reinforcements such as Leon Bailey and Evan Ferguson give Roma a mix of pace, creativity, and finishing power to complement their defensive structure. With European experience across the squad and Gasperini’s proven track record, Roma look well equipped to reach the final in the Europa League this season.
• Aston Villa (13/5, 27.8%). Aston Villa are the bookmakers’ favourites to reach the Europa League final for good reason. Under Unai Emery, Villa have developed into a tactically disciplined side that balances defensive solidity with attacking movement. Retaining Ollie Watkins was crucial, ensuring continuity in attack alongside a squad that has grown in depth after last season’s European run. With Emery’s mastery of this competition, Villa are seen as the most likely to reach the Europa League final this season.
• FC Porto (9/2, 18.2%). Porto are another strong candidate to reach the final in the Europa League thanks to their European pedigree and intense home support at the Estádio do Dragão. Reinforcements such as Gabri Veiga, Jakub Kiwior, and Luuk de Jong add balance and versatility across the pitch, making Porto dangerous in both midfield control and attacking phases. Porto’s experience in navigating long European campaigns makes them a team no one will want to draw in the Europa League knockout rounds.
• Lille (10/1, 9.1%). Lille enter the Europa League with ambition and experience, strengthened by the signing of Olivier Giroud, whose presence brings both leadership and a reliable scoring outlet. The club has already proven competitive in European competitions in recent years, and their ability to combine defensive organisation with attacking flair ensures they are more than capable of making a run to the final. While outsiders compared to Villa or Roma, Lille’s mix of experience and new firepower gives them a legitimate shot at becoming Europa League finalists in 2025/26.

Which team is most likely to finish bottom in the Europa League group/league stage?

Go Ahead Eagles are the team most likely to finish bottom in the Europa League group/league stage, largely due to their inexperience in European competition and inconsistent away performances. GAE’s lack of major tournament exposure and modest squad depth leave them vulnerable in a format that rewards consistency and resilience across multiple fixtures.

Go Ahead Eagles are stepping into the Europa League group/league stage with relatively limited experience in European tournaments. While they qualified via domestic cup success, they are far from regulars at this level, which means they lack a history of managing the demands of continental travel, fixture congestion, and the need for squad rotation.

In addition to limited experience, GAE’s away form domestically has been mixed. In recent Eredivisie seasons they have delivered some draws and moderate results but haven’t displayed the kind of stability one expects in tough away fixtures. Moreover, GAE’s squad lacks both depth and the kind of standout talent that rivals will rely on throughout the campaign. In a league stage where every point matters, these limitations increase the risk of dropped results, making them strong candidates to finish at the bottom.

Who is most likely to finish as Top Scorer in the Europa League this season?

Samu, the young Spanish forward playing for FC Porto, looks like one of the strongest contenders to finish as the top scorer in this season’s Europa League. Samu’s combination of physical strength and composed finishing has already made him a standout performer in the Primeira Liga, where he has been scoring freely.

Samu’s impressive form has carried into Europe, where he finished last season among the competition’s joint top scorers with six goals. Porto’s attacking style under Francesco Farioli ensures that Samu receives a steady supply of chances, whether from crosses, pressing transitions, or set pieces, which plays to his strengths as a penalty-box striker. Samu’s reliability from the spot, converting a penalty on his return from injury, is a reminder that he is reliable in high-pressure moments. With Porto among the favourites to reach the later stages of the competition, Samu’s combination of form, service, and confidence makes him the most convincing candidate to finish as Europa League top scorer this season.

Europa League Betting Stats and Data

To guide our Europa League tips and betting advice, FootballPredictions.com reviews long-term statistical records from UEFA’s secondary competition. These records track outcomes such as home wins, away wins, draws, total goals, and BTTS percentages across both the group and knockout stages. The data helps identify consistent patterns, such as the strength of home advantage in Eastern Europe, the tendency for English clubs to thrive in knockout ties, and the scoring trends that shape goal markets. By grounding weekly previews in this data, we provide readers with evidence-based insight into the most popular Europa League betting markets.

Europa League Stats (2025/2026)

Europa League Results

Europa League Fixtures

What are Europa League Predictions?

Europa League predictions are expert forecasts of likely outcomes in Europe’s second-tier competition, covering everything from group winners and knockout qualification to outright champions, Top Scorer contenders, and match-specific results. Our football predictions are informed by statistical analysis, tactical assessment, and current form, with the aim of translating complex trends into actionable betting advice for Europa League punters.

Accurate Europa League predictions require an understanding of the competition’s new 36-team league phase, introduced in 2024/25. Each club plays eight matches against opponents drawn from four seeded pots, with the top eight advancing directly to the Round of 16 and those placed 9th–24th entering knockout play-offs. The tournament blends giants from the Premier League, Serie A, La Liga, and the Bundesliga with strong representatives from leagues such as Portugal (Porto, Braga), the Netherlands (Feyenoord, Utrecht), and France (Lille, Lyon, Nice), producing unpredictable encounters. At FootballPredictions.com, our analysts combine data-driven modelling with years of experience following European football to deliver reliable previews and tips throughout the campaign, helping readers navigate one of UEFA’s most competitive and diverse tournaments.

How are Europa League Predictions determined?

At FootballPredictions.com, our analysts create Europa League predictions through a five-step process that blends statistical modelling, tactical assessment, and betting market evaluation, tailored to the unique structure of Europe’s secondary club competition.

The five steps behind our Europa League forecasts are as follows.

• Establishing the fixture context
• Measuring team form and underlying metrics
• Analysing squad availability and depth
• Factoring in travel, venues, and rivalries
• Comparing insights with bookmaker odds

1. Establishing the fixture context. Every Europa League prediction begins with an understanding of the fixture’s setting. We log kick-off times, travel demands, and competition stage, since the dynamics vary greatly between group matches and knockout ties. Knockout ties carry extra tactical caution, while league phase matches often feature rotation when stronger clubs prioritise domestic league schedules or national cup competitions.
2. Measuring team form and underlying metrics. Once context is clear, we examine performance data such as expected goals (xG), shot quality, and defensive efficiency. The Europa League is known for statistical contrasts, with clubs like Freiburg producing high xG across Europe in their recent campaigns, while sides from smaller leagues often rely on defensive organisation and set pieces. Separating sustainable performance from short-term luck ensures Europa League predictions highlight which clubs are genuinely strong candidates to progress.
3. Analysing squad availability and depth. Player absences, suspensions, and mid-season transfers often have a heightened impact in the Europa League, where depth varies widely between clubs. A Premier League side like Aston Villa has more resources to rotate than a Belgian or Austrian participant, while a single injury at a smaller club is able to derail a campaign. Understanding how managers adjust their line-ups, whether prioritising domestic survival or European progress, ensures Europa League predictions remain realistic.
4. Factoring in travel, venues, and rivalries. Home advantage plays a particularly strong role in the Europa League, with Fenerbahçe in Türkiye and Red Bull Salzburg in Austria creating intimidating atmospheres that unsettle visiting sides. Travel distance matters as well, as midweek flights across multiple time zones tends to drain smaller squads. Moreover, rivalries occasionally emerge in later rounds, as seen in Roma’s tense encounters with Italian opponents, where national pride adds another layer of unpredictability when it comes to predicting Europa League match results.
5. Comparing insights with bookmaker odds. The final step required to shape correct Europa League predictions is testing forecasts against betting markets. By translating bookmaker prices into implied probabilities, we identify when odds misrepresent a team’s true chances. For example, English sides are often priced shorter than their European form justifies, while clubs from Portugal or the Netherlands tend to be undervalued. These gaps between market perception and data-driven projections allow us to highlight value bets, turning analysis into actionable Europa League predictions.

When are Europa League Predictions released?

Europa League predictions are published early in the week ahead of each round of fixtures. Since matches are traditionally played on Thursday evenings, releasing tips a few days in advance gives readers time to review the analysis and track any changes in team news or form before kick-off. This approach ensures forecasts are both timely and reliable, allowing punters to prepare well ahead of matchday.

What are the most appealing Betting Markets to bet on for the Europa League?

The most appealing betting markets for the Europa League are Home Wins, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and Over 1.5 Goals. These three stand out because they align with the competition’s consistent statistical patterns across group and knockout phases. Unlike riskier options such as Correct Score, they provide stronger reliability while still reflecting the open, unpredictable nature of Europa League football. Importantly, they balance long-term accuracy with betting value, making them the most followed by punters.

The 3 most appealing betting markets for the Europa League are outlined below.

• Home Wins. The Home Wins market remains a central option for Europa League punters, with percentages ranging between 43% and 52% over the last five seasons. The 2023/24 campaign peaked at 52%, confirming the strength of home advantage in European competition. By contrast, draws ranged from 15% to 28%, while away wins fluctuated between 28% and 38%, underlining the edge for hosts. Domestic mismatches, travel fatigue, and packed stadiums often tilt games towards the home side. For example, Atalanta and Bayer Leverkusen both leaned heavily on home dominance during deep runs. This consistent pattern makes Home Wins one of the most attractive markets to follow for Europa League bettors.
• Both Teams to Score (BTTS). BTTS has delivered success in 48% to 60% of matches over the last five seasons of the Europa League, making it a balanced and appealing choice. In comparison, clean sheets are far less common, averaging around 40% to 52%, which demonstrates how often both sides find the net. Matches featuring attacking clubs from Portugal, the Netherlands, and Germany in particular have a high tendency to produce BTTS outcomes, while defensively stronger teams from Italy or Spain push the rate slightly lower. The Europa League’s diversity of playing styles ensures a steady supply of fixtures where BTTS remains a high-value bet.
• Over 1.5 Goals. Over 1.5 Goals stands out as the most beginner-friendly market in the Europa League. Across the last five campaigns, it has landed in 70% to 80% of matches, with 2020/21 marking the peak at 80%. While profits are smaller due to shorter odds, the high hit rate makes it especially exciting for newcomers seeking steady returns. In contrast, Under 1.5 Goals outcomes occur in just 20% to 30% of fixtures, highlighting how rare low-scoring games are at this level. With goals per game averaging between 2.67 and 3.16, the Europa League consistently produces attacking football, particularly in group stages where defensive gaps are most exposed.

The table below summarises the key Europa League outcomes from the past five seasons across these three markets.

Europa League Season Guide

UEFA’s Europa League is Europe’s second-tier club competition and, since 2024/25, uses a “league phase” (Swiss-style) format like the Champions League. In this model, there is one 36-team table rather than traditional four-team groups; each club plays eight different opponents (four home, four away) that are drawn to ensure two opponents from each of four seeding pots. The 2025/26 edition is the 55th season and concludes with the final at Beşiktaş Stadium in Istanbul on 20 May 2026. Thirty-six teams contest the league phase after summer qualifying, with knockout rounds beginning in February, and the winners earning a place in the 2026/27 Champions League.

For bettors and analysts, Europa League forecasts often run in parallel with Champions League predictions, since both competitions share the same Swiss-style structure but differ in competitive balance and squad depth. This shared framework means trends observed in the Champions League, such as how elite clubs manage rotation and away form, often inform early-season expectations in the Europa League as well.

What Is the Format of the Europa League 2025/26 Season?

The format of the Europa League begins with a 36-team league phase in which each club plays eight matches against eight different opponents, drawn so that they face two teams from each seeding pot, one at home and one away. After these eight matchdays, the top eight sides from the Europa League progress directly to the Round of 16, while those placed 9th to 24th move into February’s knockout play-offs and the bottom 12 are eliminated. From the Round of 16 to the semi-finals, ties are contested over two legs, with the final held as a single match at a neutral venue.

Key structural elements of the Europa League are worth noting for fans and bettors. The away-goals rule has been scrapped, meaning that ties level on aggregate go to extra time and then penalties. Seeding relies on UEFA club coefficients, and the draw software ensures that teams from the same country are not paired more than twice in the league phase. Finally, the winners of the competition earn automatic entry into the Champions League league phase the following season.

What are the Start & End Dates for the Europa League 2025/26?

The Europa League 2025/26 season runs from 10 July 2025 (first qualifying round) to 20 May 2026 (final in Istanbul). League-phase matchdays are set for 24–25 September, 2 October, 23 October, 6 November, 27 November, 11 December 2025, then 22 January and 29 January 2026. Knockout play-offs follow on 19 & 26 February, the Round of 16 on 12 & 19 March, quarter-finals on 9 & 16 April, and semi-finals on 30 April & 7 May.

Qualifying filled out the league-phase field of the Europa League in July and August (four rounds culminating in play-offs). The league phase spans eight “episodes” across autumn and January — six before the winter break and two after. After the table is finalised on 29 January, teams ranked 9–24 contest two-leg play-offs in February to join the top eight in March’s Round of 16. Finally, the one-off final takes place at Beşiktaş Stadium on Wednesday, 20 May 2026.

How are Europa League Fixtures built up?

Europa League fixtures are produced by a computer-assisted draw – the 36 clubs are split into four pots of nine (by UEFA coefficient). Each team is assigned two opponents from every pot (one home, one away) avoiding same-association opponents and limiting any club to at most two opponents from the same country. Once opponents are set, UEFA’s scheduler generates dates to balance sporting interest and logistics – (1) no club plays more than two home or two away fixtures in a row, (2) across both the first two and last two matchdays each team plays one home and one away, and (3) the league phase of the Europa League tournament opens with an “exclusive week” featuring matches on both Wednesday and Thursday. Standard kick-off slots are 16:30, 18:45 and 21:00 CET/CEST, and all games on the final matchday kick off simultaneously at 21:00 to protect competitive integrity.

Related Leagues We Cover

Stay on top of Europe’s biggest football competitions with our expert predictions for other leagues including the ones below.

• Champions League Predictions. Our Champions League predictions analyse Europe’s elite teams and their pursuit of continental glory.
• Europa Conference League Predictions. Europa Conference League forecasts track emerging clubs from across Europe competing for silverware.
• Premier League Predictions. Premier League coverage examines England’s top division with insights into form, fixtures, and title races.
• La Liga Predictions. Our La Liga predictions explore Spain’s top teams through tactical analysis and weekly performance data.
• Serie A Predictions. Serie A forecasts provide a detailed look at Italy’s biggest clubs and the battles shaping the league table.