Porto and Nottingham Forest go head to head in the Europa League quarter-finals first leg, with the Dragons aiming to take advantage of their strong home form. As Porto have turned their Estadio do Dragao into a real fortress, we predict a 2-1 home win. The Dragons have been in excellent shape, collecting 2.30 points per game over their last 10 matches and winning 80% of their recent home fixtures. The Primeira Liga leaders average 2.2 goals scored at home while conceding just 0.6, with a solid 60% clean sheet rate. However, Mora and Zaidu remain doubts for this clash.
Nottingham Forest, meanwhile, head into the match with confidence after overcoming Midtjylland in the last 16, with forward Dilane Bakwa back from injury. Their overall form has been inconsistent (1.20 PPG), but their away performances are notably strong, earning 2.00 points per game and scoring 2.2 goals per match. Defensively, they remain relatively solid, conceding just 1.0 goal per away game, making them a dangerous opponent on the road.
Given Porto's fine home form and defensive stability, Home Win is our main betting tip for this Europa League matchup. Additionally, Both Teams to Score and Over 1.5 goals bets are worth considering (Forest’s away scoring form meets Porto’s consistent attack).
This Europa League match will be played on Thursday 9 April 2026 at 20:00.
What is our Porto vs Nottingham Forest prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Porto 2 - 1 Nottingham Forest
Porto vs Nottingham Forest Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-1 @ 850 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ 110 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -2000 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -500 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ 150 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -200 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Terem Moffi @ 175 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Terem Moffi @ 450 Odds
- To be Booked: Nicolas Dominguez @ 162 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Nottm Forest +1.5 @ -417 Odds
- European Handicap: Nottm Forest +2 @ -450 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -300 Odds
- Draw No Bet: FC Porto to Win @ -250 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: FC Porto to Win/FC Porto to Win @ 225 Odds
- Clean Sheet: FC Porto - No @ -163 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Porto vs Nottingham Forest?
You can place your bets on Porto vs Nottingham Forest at the following bookmakers:
18+. GambleAware.org. New GB customers only. Min £10 debit card deposit. Place a £10+ bet at Evens or greater (2.0) each leg on Sports within 7 days. Opt in for £20 in free bets. Valid for 7 days. Geographical restrictions and T&C’s apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of bets to value of qualifying deposit. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply. Registration required. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+. New customers using Promo code TOP30 only, Min £10/€10/$10 stake, min odds 1.5, free bets paid as 2 x £15/€15/$15, free bets credited after settlement of first qualifying bet, free bets will expire 30 days after the qualifying bet is settled, payment method/player/country restrictions apply. See full terms below. Play responsibly. Gamblingtherapy.org #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+ New UK+ROI customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4 x £/€5 free bets (selected sportsbook markets only, valid 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View OfferPorto Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwwldwwwwd | 2.30 |
| Home | wwwwd | 2.60 |
| Away | wldww | 2.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 80% | 60% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.60 | 2.80 | 2.40 |
| Scored | 1.80 | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| Conceded | 0.80 | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.47 | 1.63 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.21 | 1.01 | 1.41 |
Nottingham Forest Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwllldldww | 1.20 |
| Home | dllld | 0.40 |
| Away | wldww | 2.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 0% | 60% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.10 | 1.00 | 3.20 |
| Scored | 1.20 | 0.20 | 2.20 |
| Conceded | 0.90 | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 40% | 20% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 80% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.84 | 2.06 | 1.62 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.28 | 0.99 | 1.56 |
Porto vs Nottingham Forest Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Porto (0%)
1 Matches
Nottingham Forest (100%)
Rayo Vallecano
Real Sociedad
Oviedo
Elche
Torino
Inter
Osasuna
Sevilla
Milan
Juventus
Villarreal
Celta Vigo
