Porto can secure a top-eight finish and an automatic Europa League last-16 spot with a victory, and their form suggests they are unlikely to slip. As Rangers have nothing to play for in Thursday's game, our prediction leans toward a 2-0 home win. Farioli's side are on a five-match unbeaten run (WWW DW) and have been impressive at home, winning 100% of their recent games at the Estadio do Dragao. The Dragons average 2.50 goals scored and allow just 0.50, supported by strong underlying metrics (1.86 xG, 0.99 xGA at home). Even without injured forward Luuk de Jong, Porto have more than enough depth to maintain their momentum.
Rangers head into the last league game with their European campaign already over and their attention shifting toward the Premiership title race. Although their overall form is excellent (five straight wins), their away numbers in Europe are less convincing: conceding 1.00 goal per game and producing only 1.44 xG on the road. With Barron, Cornelius, and Sterling still sidelined, their squad options are stretched, especially defensively.
Given Porto’s motivation, home dominance, and superior statistical profile, the hosts are strong favourites to control the game from start to finish. Therefore, Home Win seems like a sure bet, alongside Porto to Win to Nil and Samu to Score.
This Europa League match will be played on Thursday 29 January 2026 at 20:00.
What is our Porto vs Rangers prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Porto 2 - 0 Rangers
Porto vs Rangers Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-0
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): No
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Anytime Goalscorer: Luuk de Jong @ -163 Odds
- To be booked: Emmanuel Fernandez @ 162 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Rangers +2.5 @ -200 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
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View OfferPorto Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwwdw | 2.80 |
| Home | wwwww | 3.00 |
| Away | wwwd | 2.50 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 100% | 75% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.50 | 3.00 | 1.75 |
| Scored | 2.10 | 2.50 | 1.50 |
| Conceded | 0.40 | 0.50 | 0.25 |
| BTTS | 40% | 50% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 60% | 50% | 75% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.78 | 1.86 | 1.66 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.09 | 0.99 | 1.25 |
Rangers Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwwww | 2.70 |
| Home | wwwww | 3.00 |
| Away | lww | 2.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 100% | 67% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.50 | 2.29 | 3.00 |
| Scored | 2.10 | 2.14 | 2.00 |
| Conceded | 0.40 | 0.14 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 30% | 14% | 67% |
| Clean Sheets | 70% | 86% | 33% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.96 | 2.18 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.20 | 1.03 | 1.60 |
Porto vs Rangers Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Porto (0%)
2 Matches
Rangers (50%)
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