Sturm Graz welcome Crvena Zvezda in what is expected to be a close Europa League encounter, with a 2-2 draw our predicted outcome. Sturm’s recent run has been inconsistent, with just one win across their last five outings and only a 17% home win rate, despite posting a respectable 1.55 xG on home soil. The Austrians, though, struggle at the back: they concede 1.83 goals per home match, and with BTTS hitting in 83% of those games, opponents rarely struggle to create chances. The absences of Borkovic and Lavalee, coupled with doubts over Grgić, Mitchell, and Rozga, further undermine their stability.
Crvena Zvezda have been having ups and downs of late, with the team producing fine displays in the Europa League, while struggling in the national championship. The Red and Whites are showing dangerous attacking potential away from home, where they average 4.00 goals per game and generate a strong 2.62 xG. Although Tebo Uchena is suspended, Zvezda have enough depth to compensate, while Bruno Duarte should return. Austria ace Marko Arnautović is unlikely to be risked.
As Sturm home games average 2.83 goals and Zvezda away 4.00, we believe that there is a big value in betting on Both Teams to Score and Over 2.5 goals. The Over 9.5 corners market also looks appealing given both teams’ tendency to build attacks down the flanks.
This Europa League match will be played on Thursday 11 December 2025 at 17:45.
What is our Sturm Graz vs Crvena Zvezda prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Sturm Graz 2 - 2 Crvena Zvezda
Sturm Graz vs Crvena Zvezda Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-2
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Goalscorer: Marko Arnautovic @ 120 Odds
- To be booked: Gabriel Haider @ 140 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 9.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
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View OfferSturm Graz Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | llwlw | 0.90 |
| Home | ddllw | 0.83 |
| Away | dllw | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 17% | 25% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.60 | 2.83 | 2.25 |
| Scored | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.60 | 1.83 | 1.25 |
| BTTS | 80% | 83% | 75% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 17% | 25% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 17% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.61 | 1.55 | 1.70 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.26 | 1.38 | 1.08 |
Crvena Zvezda Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwwwl | 1.90 |
| Home | dwwwl | 2.00 |
| Away | lwwlw | 1.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.80 | 1.60 | 4.00 |
| Scored | 1.70 | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| Conceded | 1.10 | 0.40 | 1.80 |
| BTTS | 40% | 20% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 2.19 | 1.76 | 2.62 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.05 | 1.22 | 0.88 |
Sturm Graz vs Crvena Zvezda Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Previous Match Data between these 2 teams are not available
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