Aston Villa welcome Newcastle United to Villa Park in a FA Cup last-32 clash, with both sides aiming to progress in the prestigious competition. Given Newcastle's struggles on the road, our prediction firmly points toward a 2-1 home win. The Villans come into the match off the back of a 1-0 Premier League win over Brighton, though key midfielders Youri Tielemans and John McGinn remain sidelined. Despite their absences, Villa have shown solid form at home, scoring 1.5 goals per game and conceding just 1.25, with an overall win rate of 50% on home soil.
Newcastle, recovering from a 2-1 win over Tottenham, are expected to recall Jacob Murphy, Nick Woltemade, and Sandro Tonali to the starting XI. The Magpies have been less consistent this season, particularly away, averaging 0.75 goals per game on the road, but their attacking potential keeps them dangerous. Anthony Gordon is widely expected to start as a winger this time out after he led the line for Eddie Howe's team against Spurs.
As Newcastle United are not regarded as good travellers despite the triumph at Spurs, we are tempted to bet on Home Win. Additionally, Over 1.5 goals (73% H2H) and Aston Villa to Score First bets boast big value.
This FA Cup match will be played on Saturday 14 February 2026 at 17:45.
What is our Aston Villa vs Newcastle prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Aston Villa 2 - 1 Newcastle
Aston Villa vs Newcastle Betting Tips
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -550 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -200 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Ollie Watkins @ 137 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Ollie Watkins @ 500 Odds
- To be Booked: Sandro Tonali @ 175 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Aston Villa 0 @ -125 Odds
- European Handicap: Aston Villa +1 @ -250 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 1X @ -250 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Aston Villa to Win @ -138 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Aston Villa to Win/Aston Villa to Win @ 275 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Aston Villa - No @ -400 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Aston Villa vs Newcastle?
You can place your bets on Aston Villa vs Newcastle at the following bookmakers:
18+. GambleAware.org. New GB customers only. Min £10 debit card deposit. Place a £10+ bet at Evens or greater (2.0) each leg on Sports within 7 days. Opt in for £20 in free bets. Valid for 7 days. Geographical restrictions and T&C’s apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of bets to value of qualifying deposit. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply. Registration required. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+. New customers using Promo code TOP30 only, Min £10/€10/$10 stake, min odds 1.5, free bets paid as 2 x £15/€15/$15, free bets credited after settlement of first qualifying bet, free bets will expire 30 days after the qualifying bet is settled, payment method/player/country restrictions apply. See full terms below. Play responsibly. Gamblingtherapy.org #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+ New UK+ROI customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4 x £/€5 free bets (selected sportsbook markets only, valid 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View OfferAston Villa Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwldw | 2.00 |
| Home | wlwlw | 1.80 |
| Away | dwwwd | 2.20 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.00 | 2.40 | 1.60 |
| Scored | 1.30 | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Conceded | 0.70 | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| BTTS | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 20% | 60% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.77 | 2.02 | 1.52 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.45 | 1.16 | 1.73 |
Newcastle Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dlllw | 0.90 |
| Home | dlwll | 0.80 |
| Away | ddllw | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.20 | 3.60 | 2.80 |
| Scored | 1.30 | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.90 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| BTTS | 60% | 40% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.51 | 1.59 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.67 | 1.59 | 1.75 |
Aston Villa vs Newcastle Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Aston Villa (27%)
33 Matches
Newcastle (39%)
Man City
Nottingham Forest
Fulham
West Ham
Brighton
Arsenal
Chelsea
Manchester United
Tottenham
Crystal Palace
