A place in the FA Cup final will be at stake as Chelsea and Leeds United lock horns in what promises to be a tense semi-final showdown. As both sides are likely to adopt a cautious approach, we predict a 1-1 draw. The Blues head into this on the back of a heavy 3-0 defeat to Brighton and have struggled for consistency, averaging just 0.90 points per game. Their attack still produces 1.70 goals per match, but defensive issues are clear with 2.20 conceded on average. The situation is worsened by major injuries to Cole Palmer, Reece James, Estevao, and Joao Pedro, all key first-team players.
Leeds, on the other hand, arrive in more stable form, picking up 1.40 points per game. The Whites are defensively solid, conceding just 0.80 goals per match, and remain competitive away from home. Their 2-2 draw with Bournemouth highlights their resilience, and with only Anton Stach missing, they have close to a full-strength squad.
Given Leeds's better recent form, fewer injuries, and stronger defensive numbers against an injury-hit Chelsea, Leeds or Draw is our main betting tip for this FA Cup matchup. Additionally, Half-Time Draw, and Under 3.5 goals bets should be considered (Leeds’ solid defense (0.80 conceded) and Chelsea’s inconsistency in attack point toward a controlled scoreline).
This FA Cup match will be played on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 15:00.
What is our Chelsea vs Leeds United prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Chelsea 1 - 1 Leeds United
Chelsea vs Leeds United Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-1 @ 800 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -143 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -800 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -275 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -111 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -400 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Cole Palmer @ 175 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Cole Palmer @ 550 Odds
- To be Booked: Dario Essugo @ 125 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Chelsea 0 @ -191 Odds
- European Handicap: Chelsea +1 @ -334 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
- Double Chance: 1X @ -334 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Chelsea to Win @ -200 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Chelsea to Win/Chelsea to Win @ 240 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Chelsea - No @ -275 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Chelsea vs Leeds United?
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View OfferChelsea Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwllllwlll | 0.90 |
| Home | llwll | 0.60 |
| Away | wwlll | 1.20 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.90 | 3.00 | 4.80 |
| Scored | 1.70 | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| Conceded | 2.20 | 1.60 | 2.80 |
| BTTS | 30% | 0% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 60% | 80% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.72 | 2.01 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.31 | 1.06 | 1.56 |
Leeds United Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dllwdddwwd | 1.40 |
| Home | llwdw | 1.40 |
| Away | dddwd | 1.40 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.10 | 1.60 | 2.60 |
| Scored | 1.30 | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Conceded | 0.80 | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| BTTS | 40% | 0% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.62 | 1.69 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.47 | 0.99 | 1.94 |
Chelsea vs Leeds United Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Chelsea (60%)
10 Matches
Leeds United (20%)
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