Exeter are determined to claim a major scalp in the FA Cup last 64, but given the number of high-profile players in Pep Guardiola's team, we predict a 4-0 home win. Man City face Exeter missing Ruben Dias and Josko Gvardiol, but Pep Guardiola’s squad depth makes these absences manageable. The Citizens are in strong form, with 80% win rate, scoring 2.4 goals per match and conceding less than 1 on average (0.9). Their home form is especially dominant: 4 wins and 1 draw in the last 5, keeping clean sheets in 60% of home matches.
The Grecians, from League One, arrive on the back of a 2-2 draw with Huddersfield, showing resilience but limited firepower away from home. They average 0.67 goals per away match and have conceded 1.67 in those games. BTTS is low (33% away), so Exeter typically struggle to score at elite opposition. Anyhow, the underdogs will have a big fish to fry in Saturday's encounter.
There’s a huge quality gap; City dominate expected goals (expected goals 1.73 vs Exeter 1.28) and defensive stats. FA Cup ties can produce shocks, but City’s scoring consistency makes an upset very unlikely. Therefore, Man City/Man City, Over 3.5 goals and Over 1.5 goals first half bets seem appealing.
This FA Cup match will be played on Saturday 10 January 2026 at 15:00.
What is our Man City vs Exeter prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Man City 4 - 0 Exeter
Man City vs Exeter Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 4-0
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): No
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Goalscorer: Erling Haaland @ -500 Odds
- To be booked: Jake Doyle-Hayes @ 333 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 9.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 9.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 175 Odds
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View OfferMan City Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwwdd | 2.60 |
| Home | wwwwd | 2.60 |
| Away | wwwwd | 2.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 80% | 80% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.30 | 3.00 | 3.60 |
| Scored | 2.40 | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| Conceded | 0.90 | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| BTTS | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.73 | 1.95 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.09 | 0.84 | 1.33 |
Exeter Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wlwwd | 1.60 |
| Home | wwww | 3.00 |
| Away | lllwd | 0.67 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 100% | 17% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.30 | 2.25 | 2.33 |
| Scored | 1.30 | 2.25 | 0.67 |
| Conceded | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1.67 |
| BTTS | 20% | 0% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 100% | 17% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 0% | 50% |
| Expected Goals | 1.28 | 1.47 | 1.16 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.45 | 1.03 | 1.73 |
Man City vs Exeter Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Previous Match Data between these 2 teams are not available
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