Wembley Stadium will be the centre of attention as Manchester City and Southampton battle for a place in the FA Cup final. Given the huge gap in quality between the two sides, we predict a 3-1 home win. Pep Guardiola's men arrive as Premier League leaders after a narrow 1-0 win over Burnley and have been in strong form, averaging 2.00 points per game. The Citizens score 1.90 goals per match with a high xG of 2.10, but injuries to key players Rodri and Ruben Dias could affect their balance, particularly in midfield control and defensive stability.
Southampton, however, are the form team coming into this semi-final, picking up a remarkable 2.60 points per game. Their attack has been electric, scoring 2.20 goals per match, while remaining efficient defensively (0.80 conceded). The Saints stunned Arsenal 2-1 in the previous round and will believe another upset is possible, although injuries to Alex McCarthy and Mads Roerslev Rasmussen limit their options.
Given Man City's superior squad depth, experience in big games, and dominant H2H record, we are tempted to place our bets on Home Win, alongside Haaland to Score and Over 2.5 goals (Both teams average close to 3 total goals per game).
This FA Cup match will be played on Saturday 25 April 2026 at 17:15.
What is our Man City vs Southampton prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Man City 3 - 1 Southampton
Man City vs Southampton Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 3-1 @ 700 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): No @ -125 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -334 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -138 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -250 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -900 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Erling Haaland @ -275 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Erling Haaland @ 187 Odds
- To be Booked: Flynn Downes @ 162 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Man City -1.5 @ -167 Odds
- European Handicap: Man City -1 @ -175 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 7.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 9.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -1000 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Man City to Win @ -1600 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Man City to Win/Man City to Win @ -163 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Man City - Yes @ -111 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Man City vs Southampton?
You can place your bets on Man City vs Southampton at the following bookmakers:
18+. GambleAware.org. New GB customers only. Min £10 debit card deposit. Place a £10+ bet at Evens or greater (2.0) each leg on Sports within 7 days. Opt in for £20 in free bets. Valid for 7 days. Geographical restrictions and T&C’s apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of bets to value of qualifying deposit. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply. Registration required. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+. New customers using Promo code TOP30 only, Min £10/€10/$10 stake, min odds 1.5, free bets paid as 2 x £15/€15/$15, free bets credited after settlement of first qualifying bet, free bets will expire 30 days after the qualifying bet is settled, payment method/player/country restrictions apply. See full terms below. Play responsibly. Gamblingtherapy.org #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+ New UK+ROI customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4 x £/€5 free bets (selected sportsbook markets only, valid 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View OfferMan City Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwldlwwwww | 2.00 |
| Home | dlww | 1.75 |
| Away | wldwww | 2.17 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% | 67% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.90 | 3.50 | 2.50 |
| Scored | 1.90 | 2.25 | 1.67 |
| Conceded | 1.00 | 1.25 | 0.83 |
| BTTS | 50% | 75% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 25% | 50% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 17% |
| Expected Goals | 2.10 | 2.04 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.12 | 1.29 | 1.01 |
Southampton Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwwwwwwwwd | 2.60 |
| Home | wwwwwd | 2.67 |
| Away | dwww | 2.50 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 83% | 75% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.00 | 2.67 | 3.50 |
| Scored | 2.20 | 2.00 | 2.50 |
| Conceded | 0.80 | 0.67 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 70% | 50% | 100% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 50% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.55 | 1.56 | 1.54 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.40 | 1.37 | 1.44 |
Man City vs Southampton Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Man City (67%)
27 Matches
Southampton (15%)
Betis
Real Madrid
Fulham
Aston Villa
Wolves
Tottenham
West Ham
Everton
Liverpool
Crystal Palace
Getafe
Barcelona
