Southampton and Leicester City square off against each other in a Championship FA Cup last-32 tie, with the Saints brimming with confidence after a thrilling 4-3 comeback win over Leicester in their recent league encounter. Given the Foxes' defensive struggles, we predict a 3-1 home win. Southampton’s squad is slightly weakened, with Robinson, Roerslev Rasmussen, and Romeu sidelined, but the team’s attacking rhythm and home advantage make them strong contenders. The Saints average 1.4 goals per game while conceding 1.3, showing they can score and defend effectively when motivated.
Leicester, on the other hand, are hungry for revenge, though their recent form has been patchy (1.0 points per game) and they’ve struggled defensively, conceding 1.8 goals per match. Experienced striker Jordan Ayew is expected to lead the line, but the Foxes’ away record (0.8 points per game) and shaky backline suggest away win is unlikely.
Considering Southampton's home advantage and better form, we believe that there is big value in betting on Home Win, alongside Over 2.5 goals and Southampton Over 1.5.
This FA Cup match will be played on Saturday 14 February 2026 at 15:00.
What is our Southampton vs Leicester prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Southampton 3 - 1 Leicester
Southampton vs Leicester Betting Tips
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -600 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Over 3.5 Goals @ 162 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Cyle Larin @ 125 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Cyle Larin @ 450 Odds
- To be Booked: Victor Kristiansen @ 162 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Southampton -0.5 @ -154 Odds
- European Handicap: Southampton +1 @ -550 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 7.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 9.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -450 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Southampton to Win @ -350 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Southampton to Win/Southampton to Win @ 150 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Southampton - No @ -225 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Southampton vs Leicester?
You can place your bets on Southampton vs Leicester at the following bookmakers:
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18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View OfferSouthampton Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wdwww | 1.80 |
| Home | dlww | 1.75 |
| Away | lwdww | 1.83 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.70 | 1.25 | 3.67 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 0.75 | 1.83 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 0.50 | 1.83 |
| BTTS | 50% | 25% | 67% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 75% | 17% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| Expected Goals | 1.47 | 1.55 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.46 | 1.30 | 1.57 |
Leicester Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dllll | 1.00 |
| Home | wwlll | 1.20 |
| Away | lwldl | 0.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.20 | 3.60 | 2.80 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Conceded | 1.80 | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| BTTS | 80% | 80% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.22 | 1.31 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.55 | 1.38 | 1.71 |
Southampton vs Leicester Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Southampton (29%)
28 Matches
Leicester (50%)
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