Stade de Luxembourg will host Wednesday's international friendly between Luxembourg and Italy. As the Azzurri are eager to make amends for the unsuccessful World Cup qualifying campaign, we predict a 3-0 away win. The hosts enter the match in positive spirits after recording back-to-back UEFA Nations League victories over Malta and will be eager to test themselves against one of Europe’s traditional powerhouses. Benfica B midfielder Tomas de Sousa is pushing for a place in the starting XI after scoring from the bench in the recent 3-0 win, while St. Pauli forward Danel Sinani remains Luxembourg’s main attacking threat. However, their expected goals figure of 1.00 suggests they often struggle to create clear-cut opportunities against stronger opposition.
Italy, meanwhile, are determined to respond after a disappointing World Cup qualifying campaign that ended with a playoff defeat to Bosnia. Caretaker manager Silvio Baldini has opted for a fresh start, naming an experimental squad featuring 19 debutants. Inter striker Francesco Pio Esposito is expected to lead the attack, while captain Gianluigi Donnarumma provides experience and leadership at the other end of the pitch. Despite missing out on the World Cup, the Azzurri’s recent form has been strong, winning 70% of their last 10 matches and averaging 2.40 goals scored per game. Italy’s matches have also produced 3.70 total goals on average, underlining their attacking quality and ability to create chances, reflected in an impressive expected goals figure of 2.18.
Despite the rotation, Italy possess significantly greater quality and arrive with a 70% win rate from their last 10 matches. Therefore, Away Win should be considered, alongside Italy to Win to Nil and Over 2.5 goals (Italy average 2.40 goals per match and their games produce 3.70 total goals on average).
This match will be played on Wednesday 3 June 2026 at 19:45.
What is our Luxembourg vs Italy prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Luxembourg 0 - 3 Italy
Luxembourg vs Italy Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 0-3 @ 900 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): No @ -120 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -600 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -225 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -150 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -500 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Francesco Esposito @ 130 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Francesco Esposito @ 450 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Italy -1 @ -138 Odds
- European Handicap: Italy +1 @ -900 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 7.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 6 - 8 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -550 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Italy to Win @ -600 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Italy to Win/Italy to Win @ 110 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Italy - Yes @ 110 Odds
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View OfferLuxembourg Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ldllllllww | 0.70 |
| Home | ldlllw | 0.67 |
| Away | lllw | 0.75 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 17% | 25% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.00 | 1.83 | 2.25 |
| Scored | 0.60 | 0.67 | 0.50 |
| Conceded | 1.40 | 1.17 | 1.75 |
| BTTS | 10% | 17% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 33% | 25% |
| Failed to Score | 70% | 67% | 75% |
| Expected Goals | 1.00 | 1.15 | 0.79 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.38 | 1.18 | 1.69 |
Italy Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwwwwwwlwd | 2.20 |
| Home | wwwlw | 2.40 |
| Away | lwwwd | 2.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 80% | 60% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.70 | 3.40 | 4.00 |
| Scored | 2.40 | 2.60 | 2.20 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| BTTS | 40% | 20% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 80% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 2.18 | 2.46 | 1.89 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.22 | 1.14 | 1.30 |
Luxembourg vs Italy Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Previous Match Data between these 2 teams are not available
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