Metropolitano Stadium in Madrid will host an intriguing friendly on Friday as Morocco and Ecuador square off in what promises to be a tactical, hard-fought battle. As one goal is likely to separate the two teams this time out, we predict a 1-0 home win. The AFCON champions head into the match in outstanding form, collecting 2.40 points per game across their last ten outings and winning 70% of them. Coach Mohamed Ouahbi cannot count on injured defender Adam Masina, while Sofyan Amrabat will not be risked after a recent recovery. Even so, the Atlas Lions look strong with Brahim Diaz and Ayoub El Kaabi both available. Defensively, Morocco have been exceptional—conceding just 0.30 goals per match and keeping clean sheets in 80% of their recent games.
Ecuador, meanwhile, remain a disciplined and compact side. La Tricolor have lost only one of their last ten matches (1.60 PPG), but their lack of firepower is a concern—scoring just 0.70 goals per match overall and failing to find the net in 50% of their last outings. Key attackers Enner Valencia, Kevin Rodriguez, and Moises Caicedo all made the squad, yet Ecuador’s away form remains shaky, with zero wins from their last six away matches.
Given Morocco's better form and remarkably strong defensive numbers, we are tempted to place our bets on Home Win, alongside Morocco to Win to Nil and Under 2.5 goals (both sides concede less than 0.40 on average).
This match will be played on Friday 27 March 2026 at 20:15.
What is our Morocco vs Ecuador prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Morocco 1 - 0 Ecuador
Morocco vs Ecuador Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-0 @ 500 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): No @ -175 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -3300 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -800 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals @ -250 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Under 1.5 Goals @ 125 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Morocco 0 @ -134 Odds
- European Handicap: Morocco +1 @ -275 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 2.5
- Total Corners: 6 - 8 @ 150 Odds
- Double Chance: 1X @ -275 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Morocco to Win @ -138 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Morocco to Win/Morocco to Win @ 333 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Morocco - Yes @ 125 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Morocco vs Ecuador?
You can place your bets on Morocco vs Ecuador at the following bookmakers:
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18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View OfferMorocco Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwwwdwwwdd | 2.40 |
| Home | wwwdw | 2.60 |
| Away | wwwdd | 2.20 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 80% | 60% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 1.90 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| Scored | 1.60 | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Conceded | 0.30 | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| BTTS | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 80% | 80% | 80% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.64 | 1.63 | 1.64 |
| Expected Goals Against | 0.71 | 0.66 | 0.76 |
Ecuador Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wddddwdddw | 1.60 |
| Home | wdww | 2.50 |
| Away | dddddd | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 75% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 1.00 | 1.50 | 0.67 |
| Scored | 0.70 | 1.25 | 0.33 |
| Conceded | 0.30 | 0.25 | 0.33 |
| BTTS | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 70% | 75% | 67% |
| Failed to Score | 50% | 25% | 67% |
| Expected Goals | 1.17 | 1.63 | 0.87 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.08 | 0.92 | 1.18 |
Morocco vs Ecuador Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Previous Match Data between these 2 teams are not available
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