USA and Mexico go head to head at State Farm Stadium in an eagerly-awaited friendly, with the Yanks aiming to make it three wins in a row after impressive victories over Peru and Chile. The Americans scored four goals in each of those matches and are likely to stick to their attacking style of play. Adams, Trusty and Tillman are pushing for starts after coming off the bench against Chile, while Milan ace Christian Pulisic has been omitted from this window and Weston McKennie is also absent despite recently overcoming his injury. USA have scored 2.33 goals per game across their last nine home matches.
Mexico, meanwhile, are without Wolverhampton striker Raul Jimenez, while Santiago Gimenez, Santiago Sandoval and Luis Romo are all pushing for starts after appearing from the bench in the 1-1 draw with Peru. El Tri have been in excellent form, going unbeaten in their last nine matches and winning seven of them. Their defensive record has been particularly impressive, with Mexico conceding just 0.60 goals per game and keeping six clean sheets across their last 10 fixtures.
As USA have been scoring goals for fun in recent friendlies, Home Win should be considered, alongside USA Over 1.5 and Over 1.5 goals total (69% H2H).
This match will be played on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 03:00.
What is our USA vs Mexico prediction?
Our prediction for this match: USA 2 - 1 Mexico
USA vs Mexico Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-1 @ 900 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -150 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -800 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -275 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -125 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -400 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Armando Gonzalez @ 175 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Armando Gonzalez @ 550 Odds
- To be Booked: George Campbell @ 200 Odds
- Asian Handicap: USA +0.5 @ -174 Odds
- European Handicap: USA +1 @ -175 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 6 - 8 @ 160 Odds
- Double Chance: 1X @ -175 Odds
- Draw No Bet: USA to Win @ 100 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: USA to Win/USA to Win @ 350 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Mexico - No @ -334 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on USA vs Mexico?
You can place your bets on USA vs Mexico at the following bookmakers:
Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of bets to value of qualifying deposit. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply. Registration required. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+. GambleAware.org. New GB customers only. Min £10 debit card deposit. Place a £10+ bet at Evens or greater (2.0) each leg on Sports within 7 days. Opt in for £20 in free bets. Valid for 7 days. Geographical restrictions and T&C’s apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+. New customers using Promo code TOP30 only, Min £10/€10/$10 stake, min odds 1.5, free bets paid as 2 x £15/€15/$15, free bets credited after settlement of first qualifying bet, free bets will expire 30 days after the qualifying bet is settled, payment method/player/country restrictions apply. See full terms below. Play responsibly. Gamblingtherapy.org #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+ New UK+ROI customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4 x £/€5 free bets (selected sportsbook markets only, valid 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View OfferUSA Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwlwwlwlww | 1.80 |
| Home | lwlwwwlww | 2.00 |
| Away | l | 0.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 67% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 4.00 | 3.89 | 5.00 |
| Scored | 2.30 | 2.33 | 2.00 |
| Conceded | 1.70 | 1.56 | 3.00 |
| BTTS | 70% | 67% | 100% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 22% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 11% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.57 | 1.53 | 1.92 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.15 | 1.15 | 1.12 |
Mexico Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwwwwwwldd | 2.30 |
| Home | wwwwwwldd | 2.22 |
| Away | w | 3.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 67% | 100% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.60 | 2.56 | 3.00 |
| Scored | 2.00 | 1.89 | 3.00 |
| Conceded | 0.60 | 0.67 | 0.00 |
| BTTS | 40% | 44% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 60% | 56% | 100% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.51 | 1.54 | 1.27 |
| Expected Goals Against | 0.78 | 0.74 | 1.10 |
USA vs Mexico Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
USA (54%)
13 Matches
Mexico (31%)
USA vs Mexico Past Results
Our Visitors Prediction
Now Trending Football Predictions
Aston Villa
Man City
Napoli
AS Roma
Chelsea
Tottenham
Inter
Fiorentina
Liverpool
Brighton
Freiburg
Bayern Munich
