Napoli vs Bologna Prediction & Betting Tips | 22/12/2025

Napoli vs Bologna Prediction and Betting Tips | 22 December 2025

Bojan Jovanovic • Football expert

20 December 2025 • 16:20 UTC • 1 min read

Napoli vs Bologna Prediction and Betting Tips 22 December 2025

Napoli and Bologna meet in the Italian Super Cup final at King Saud University Stadium, with the neutral setting adding extra intrigue. As Napoli are a more experience side than Bologna, our prediction points toward a 1-0 win. The Neapolitans head into the decider with solid overall numbers despite several notable absentees. Kevin De Bruyne, Frank Anguissa, and Billy Gilmour remain sidelined, but their absence was barely felt in the semi-final, where Napoli controlled Milan in a 2–0 win. Defensively, Napoli have been reliable, conceding just 0.8 goals per game overall and keeping clean sheets in 40% of matches, which has often compensated for a slightly inconsistent attack.

The Rossoblu, meanwhile, have built confidence after stunning Inter on penalties in the semis. Their form is marginally stronger on paper, with 1.8 points per game overall and an impressive attacking output of 2.5 goals per match. Away performances have been particularly strong, and even without Federico Bernardeschi, who is not a regular starter, Bologna retain balance at both ends of the pitch. This final looks finely poised, with Napoli’s structure facing Bologna’s fluid attack.

As title games tend to be tight and tactical, Under 2.5 goals is our main betting tip for the Italian Super Cup final, with additional value on Napoli to Win and Half-Time Draw.

This Italy Super Cup match will be played on Monday 22 December 2025 at 19:00.

What is our Napoli vs Bologna prediction?

Our prediction for this match: Napoli 1 - 0 Bologna

Napoli vs Bologna Betting Tips

Correct Score: 1-0
Both Teams To Score (BTTS): No
Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Under 1.5 Goals
Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
Shots on Target (Away): Under 2.5
Shots on Target (Total): Over 2.5

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Napoli Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	dwllw	1.70
Home	wwdww	2.33
Away	lwll	0.75

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	50%	67%	25%
Average Goals Per Game	1.90	2.17	1.50
Scored	1.10	1.67	0.25
Conceded	0.80	0.50	1.25
BTTS	30%	50%	0%
Clean Sheets	40%	50%	25%
Failed to Score	40%	17%	75%
Expected Goals	1.27	1.52	0.90
Expected Goals Against	1.15	1.04	1.32

Bologna Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	wdwld	1.80
Home	wlwld	1.57
Away	wdw	2.33

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	50%	43%	67%
Average Goals Per Game	2.50	2.43	2.67
Scored	1.60	1.43	2.00
Conceded	0.90	1.00	0.67
BTTS	60%	57%	67%
Clean Sheets	30%	29%	33%
Failed to Score	20%	29%	0%
Expected Goals	1.77	1.90	1.47
Expected Goals Against	1.11	1.06	1.22