AZ Alkmaar and Ajax face each other in a highly-anticipated KNVB Beker clash at AFAS Stadion. As the Amsterdammers continue with fine performances on the road, we predict a 2-1 away win. AZ have been in a fine form despite a growing injury list, with Clasie, Kasius and Meerdink still sidelined. Their narrow 1-0 win over Volendam at the weekend underlined their improved defensive structure at home, where they concede just 1.40 goals per match and keep 60% clean sheets. Offensively, however, AZ have lacked fluency, scoring only 1.20 goals per home game, and they will need to raise their attacking output to trouble a resurgent Ajax. Still, AZ have won 14 of the last 36 meetings, keeping this fixture traditionally competitive.
Ajax travel to Alkmaar in strong form, taking 2.20 points per game overall and an impressive 2.60 on the road. Their away matches have been chaotic in nature, averaging 5.60 total goals, with Ajax scoring 3.80 but conceding 1.80 on average. With Regeer and Gaaei doubtful after knocks in the 3-2 win over Telstar, defensive rotations are possible—never ideal before a cup knockout. Even so, Ajax’s attacking numbers (2.80 goals per match) remain among the league’s best.
Considering that Ajax away games average 5.60 goals, Over 2.5 goals seems like the best betting option for this Dutch Cup matchup, with additional value on BTTS and Away Win.
This KNVB Cup match will be played on Wednesday 14 January 2026 at 20:00.
What is our AZ vs Ajax prediction?
Our prediction for this match: AZ 1 - 2 Ajax
AZ vs Ajax Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-2
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Goalscorer: Troy Parrott @ -120 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
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View OfferAZ Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwdlw | 1.40 |
| Home | lwddw | 1.60 |
| Away | llwwl | 1.20 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.20 | 2.60 | 3.80 |
| Scored | 1.60 | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| Conceded | 1.60 | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| BTTS | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.77 | 1.86 | 1.68 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.18 | 1.06 | 1.29 |
Ajax Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwdww | 2.20 |
| Home | llwww | 1.80 |
| Away | wwwdw | 2.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% | 80% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 4.10 | 2.60 | 5.60 |
| Scored | 2.80 | 1.80 | 3.80 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| BTTS | 60% | 20% | 100% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 60% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.79 | 1.55 | 1.98 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.58 | 1.50 | 1.65 |
AZ vs Ajax Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
AZ (39%)
36 Matches
Ajax (42%)
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