Heerenveen take on RKC in the KNVB Beker last 16 in solid form, having taken 10 points from their last five outings. Given Heerenveen's attacking potential, we predict a 3-1 home win. The main concern for the hosts is the injury to Jacob Trenskow, who limped off against Feyenoord, but Maxence Rivera should slot in without major disruption. Heerenveen’s underlying numbers at home remain steady with 1.84 xG and just 1.26 xGA, though they have conceded in two of their three recent home fixtures. Their attack is reliable enough, scoring in 80% of matches, while clean sheets have been more common away than at the Abe Lenstra Stadion.
RKC head into Thursday's game with renewed confidence after back-to-back wins and no fresh injuries to worry about. Their recent scoring output is strong — 2.10 goals per game — and they’ve kept clean sheets in 40% of their last five matches. Away from home, Waalwijk’s numbers are respectable, highlighted by 1.33 points per game and 2.50 goals scored on average. The expected goals trend is encouraging as well, with 2.05 created per away match. However, defensive lapses remain an issue; BTTS has landed in half of those games.
Given both sides’ recent attacking trends and the cup setting, this one has the profile of a lively affair. Therefore, Over 2.5 and BTTS markets seem appealing, alongside Home Win due to Heerenveen's attacking potential at home.
This KNVB Cup match will be played on Thursday 15 January 2026 at 17:45.
What is our Heerenveen vs Waalwijk prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Heerenveen 3 - 1 Waalwijk
Heerenveen vs Waalwijk Betting Tips
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 7.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 9.5
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View OfferHeerenveen Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwwwd | 1.70 |
| Home | wld | 1.33 |
| Away | llwww | 1.86 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 33% | 57% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.10 | 3.33 | 3.00 |
| Scored | 1.90 | 1.67 | 2.00 |
| Conceded | 1.20 | 1.67 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 50% | 67% | 43% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 0% | 43% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 33% | 14% |
| Expected Goals | 1.85 | 1.84 | 1.86 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.25 | 1.26 | 1.25 |
Waalwijk Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lllww | 1.40 |
| Home | wlwl | 1.50 |
| Away | dllww | 1.33 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.60 | 3.50 | 3.67 |
| Scored | 2.10 | 1.50 | 2.50 |
| Conceded | 1.50 | 2.00 | 1.17 |
| BTTS | 60% | 75% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 25% | 50% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 17% |
| Expected Goals | 2.08 | 2.13 | 2.05 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.31 | 1.41 | 1.24 |
Heerenveen vs Waalwijk Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Heerenveen (41%)
17 Matches
Waalwijk (18%)
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