Bolton welcome Northampton to the Toughsheet Community Stadium aiming to build on a solid run of home form. Given Northampton's struggles on the road, we predict a 2-1 home win. The Trotters have been strong on their own patch, averaging 2.00 points per game at home and winning three of their last five. Defensively they look stable, conceding just 0.60 goals per home match, while their xG numbers are encouraging at 2.21 xG and only 1.03 xGA.
Northampton, meanwhile, arrive weakened, with Shaw, McGeehan, and Wheatley all expected to miss out. Their form has dipped, especially away from home, where they average just 0.75 points per game and concede 2.25 goals per match. The H2H also leans heavily towards Bolton, who have won five of seven meetings, with BTTS landing in 71% of those encounters. Northampton's away defensive issues combined with missing key players suggest another tough outing.
Given Bolton's fine home form and major absences for Northampton, we are tempted to bet on Home Win, alongside Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 goals (both teams trend high-scoring, especially Northampton away).
This League 1 match will be played on Sunday 4 January 2026 at 12:00.
What is our Bolton vs Northampton prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Bolton 2 - 1 Northampton
Bolton vs Northampton Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-1
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Goalscorer: Mason Burstow @ -111 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
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View OfferBolton Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wlwld | 1.50 |
| Home | dwwwl | 2.00 |
| Away | dlwld | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.20 | 2.00 | 2.40 |
| Scored | 1.10 | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Conceded | 1.10 | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| BTTS | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.78 | 2.21 | 1.36 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.22 | 1.03 | 1.41 |
Northampton Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwlld | 1.40 |
| Home | lwdwd | 1.83 |
| Away | wlll | 0.75 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% | 25% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.90 | 2.50 | 3.50 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 1.50 | 1.25 |
| Conceded | 1.50 | 1.00 | 2.25 |
| BTTS | 60% | 67% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 33% | 25% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 17% | 25% |
| Expected Goals | 1.19 | 1.21 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.56 | 1.28 | 1.98 |
Bolton vs Northampton Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Bolton (71%)
7 Matches
Northampton (14%)
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