Exeter take on Barnsley in a League One clash where home form could be decisive. Therefore, we predict that the Grecians will defeat the Tykes 2-1 on Matchday 21. Exeter average 1.6 points per game overall but are far stronger at St James Park, picking up 2.5 points per home match. They score 2.5 goals per game at home while conceding just 1.0, and have failed to score in none of their home outings. With an expected goals of 1.60 at home, Exeter continue to create consistent chances despite a couple of minor injury absences.
The Tykes also average 1.6 points per game, but their performances are more balanced and less reliable defensively, especially away from home. On the road, they concede 2.0 goals per game and keep clean sheets in only 20% of matches. While their attacking numbers are solid overall (1.6 goals scored per game, xG 1.63), that output drops to 1.0 goal per away match. The absence of Gent should not drastically change their setup, but their shaky defence remains a concern.
Given Exeter's fine goal-scoring record at home and points return, we believe that there is big value in betting on Home Win, alongside Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 goals as both sides have been averaging above 2.8 total goals of late.
This League 1 match will be played on Saturday 20 December 2025 at 15:00.
What is our Exeter vs Barnsley prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Exeter 2 - 1 Barnsley
Exeter vs Barnsley Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-1
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Goalscorer: Davis Keillor-Dunn @ 150 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
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View OfferExeter Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | llwwl | 1.60 |
| Home | wdww | 2.50 |
| Away | wllll | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 75% | 33% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.80 | 3.50 | 2.33 |
| Scored | 1.50 | 2.50 | 0.83 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| BTTS | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 33% |
| Expected Goals | 1.36 | 1.60 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.51 | 1.33 | 1.63 |
Barnsley Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dlwlw | 1.60 |
| Home | lwlww | 1.80 |
| Away | wdlwl | 1.40 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.30 | 3.60 | 3.00 |
| Scored | 1.60 | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.70 | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| BTTS | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.63 | 1.74 | 1.51 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.40 | 1.16 | 1.64 |
Exeter vs Barnsley Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Exeter (67%)
6 Matches
Barnsley (33%)
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