Northampton vs Stevenage Prediction & Betting Tips | 07/02/2026

Northampton vs Stevenage Prediction and Betting Tips | 7 February 2026

Bojan Jovanovic • Football expert

5 February 2026 • 16:33 UTC • 1 min read

Northampton vs Stevenage Prediction and Betting Tips 7 February 2026

Northampton look to halt their poor run after collecting just 0.60 points per game across their last five. As both Northampton and Stevenage struggle up front, we predict a 1-1 draw. Injuries to Liam Shaw and Kyle Edwards don’t help Northampton, though their 2-2 draw with Barnsley showed improved attacking intent. The Cobblers average 1.25 goals scored at home, but their defensive issues remain clear, conceding 1.5 per match and producing only 25% clean sheets. Their xGA at home sits at 0.97, suggesting they concede more than the quality of chances they allow.

Stevenage haven’t travelled well, taking just 0.20 points per game away, scoring only 0.6 goals per match on the road. Defensive leader Charlie Goode is a major doubt, which could further weaken a backline already conceding 2 goals per away game. However, their home form is decent, and overall they show 60% BTTS, indicating frequent open matches. H2H also leans slightly towards Northampton with 8 wins from 16.

With both sides struggling for wins but capable of grinding out goals, a tight contest feels likely. As both teams create low xG figures (1.40 vs 1.28), there is big value in betting on Under 2.5 goals.

This League 1 match will be played on Saturday 7 February 2026 at 15:01.

What is our Northampton vs Stevenage prediction?

Our prediction for this match: Northampton 1 - 1 Stevenage

Northampton vs Stevenage Betting Tips

Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -2000 Odds
Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -600 Odds
Anytime Goalscorer: Jamie Reid @ 200 Odds
First Goalscorer: Jamie Reid @ 500 Odds
Asian Handicap: Northampton +0.5 @ -174 Odds
Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
Double Chance: 1X @ -188 Odds

Where Can You Place Bets on Northampton vs Stevenage?

You can place your bets on Northampton vs Stevenage at the following bookmakers:

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18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+

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Northampton Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	lllld	0.60
Home	dwll	1.00
Away	ldlld	0.33

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	10%	25%	0%
Average Goals Per Game	2.80	2.75	2.83
Scored	0.90	1.25	0.67
Conceded	1.90	1.50	2.17
BTTS	50%	50%	50%
Clean Sheets	20%	25%	17%
Failed to Score	50%	50%	50%
Expected Goals	1.40	1.70	1.20
Expected Goals Against	1.53	0.97	1.90

Stevenage Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	lddwl	0.80
Home	ddddw	1.40
Away	dllll	0.20

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	10%	20%	0%
Average Goals Per Game	2.20	1.80	2.60
Scored	0.80	1.00	0.60
Conceded	1.40	0.80	2.00
BTTS	60%	60%	60%
Clean Sheets	30%	40%	20%
Failed to Score	30%	20%	40%
Expected Goals	1.28	1.42	1.13
Expected Goals Against	1.22	0.93	1.50