Plymouth are eager to build on a hard-fought 1-0 win over Port Vale, but given their recent struggles at home, we predict that they will play out a 1-1 draw with Northampton on Saturday. The Pilgrims are coming off a poor run, winning just 1 of their last 5 matches. Home form is slightly better (1.33 PPG) and they tend to score more at Home (2.67 goals per game), but defensive lapses see them concede 1.67 on average. Their expected goals (expected goals 1.56 at home) suggest they can create chances, but finishing has been inconsistent. With all Benarous, Galloway, Pleguezuelo, Amaechi, MacKenzie, and Watts struggling with injuries of late, we are not tempted to bet on the hosts.
Northampton have been slightly more consistent with 1.30 PPG, performing better away (1.40 PPG) than expected. Their defense is solid on the road (1.0 conceded per away match) but scoring is limited (0.8 goals per away game). H2H history favors Northampton, who have won 4 of the last 7 meetings, and most encounters see goals (100% Over 1.5). Defender Nesta Guinness-Walker (injury) is important absentee for the visiting team.
This promises a tight but competitive clash, with Plymouth hoping to exploit home chances against a defensively cautious Northampton. Therefore both Northampton +0.5, Under 2.5 and HT Draw betting options should be considered.
This League 1 match will be played on Saturday 29 November 2025 at 15:00.
What is our Plymouth vs Northampton prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Plymouth 1 - 1 Northampton
Plymouth vs Northampton Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-1
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Goalscorer: Lorent Tolaj @ 150 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
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View OfferPlymouth Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | llllw | 1.00 |
| Home | wdl | 1.33 |
| Away | llllw | 0.86 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 33% | 29% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.90 | 4.33 | 2.29 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 2.67 | 0.86 |
| Conceded | 1.50 | 1.67 | 1.43 |
| BTTS | 40% | 100% | 14% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 0% | 29% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 0% | 57% |
| Expected Goals | 1.16 | 1.56 | 0.98 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.54 | 1.18 | 1.69 |
Northampton Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | llwwl | 1.30 |
| Home | llwwl | 1.20 |
| Away | dwwll | 1.40 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.30 | 2.80 | 1.80 |
| Scored | 1.00 | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 60% | 80% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 0% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.19 | 1.19 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.34 | 1.37 | 1.31 |
Plymouth vs Northampton Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Plymouth (43%)
7 Matches
Northampton (57%)
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