Port Vale head into Sunday's clash on a high after demolishing Blackpool 5-1, and with no fresh injury concerns. Therefore, we predict that they will defeat Barnsley 3-1 on Matchday 25. The Valiants' home performances have been solid all season, averaging 1.67 PPG, winning 50% of matches, and keeping 50% clean sheets at Vale Park. Port Vale remain far stronger at home than away, backed by an impressive 1.83 goals scored per home game and a low 0.50 conceded, supported by a home xGA of 1.22.
The Tykes, meanwhile, continue to struggle for rhythm, picking up just one win in their last five outings (WLLLD). Their away form is particularly worrying, with only 0.83 PPG, 17% wins, and 2.17 goals conceded on the road. The Tykes will also be without suspended midfielder Luca Connell, a key component of their structure. Although their matches tend to be high scoring—an average of 3.40 goals per game overall—their away output of 0.67 goals scored raises clear concerns.
Port Vale are a real force to be reckoned with at home. As Barnsley are unreliable on the road, our prediction leans toward Home Win, with additional value on Over 1.5 (92% H2H) and Over 2.5 goals (75%).
This League 1 match will be played on Sunday 4 January 2026 at 15:00.
What is our Port Vale vs Barnsley prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Port Vale 3 - 1 Barnsley
Port Vale vs Barnsley Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 3-1
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Goalscorer: Davis Keillor-Dunn @ 162 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 7.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 9.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Port Vale vs Barnsley?
You can place your bets on Port Vale vs Barnsley at the following bookmakers:
Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of bets to value of qualifying deposit. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply. Registration required. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+. GambleAware.org. New GB customers only. Min £10 debit card deposit. Place a £10+ bet at Evens or greater (2.0) each leg on Sports within 7 days. Opt in for £20 in free bets. Valid for 7 days. Geographical restrictions and T&C’s apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+. New customers using Promo code TOP30 only, Min £10/€10/$10 stake, min odds 1.5, free bets paid as 2 x £15/€15/$15, free bets credited after settlement of first qualifying bet, free bets will expire 30 days after the qualifying bet is settled, payment method/player/country restrictions apply. See full terms below. Play responsibly. Gamblingtherapy.org #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+ New UK+ROI customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4 x £/€5 free bets (selected sportsbook markets only, valid 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View OfferPort Vale Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dlllw | 1.10 |
| Home | lwwlw | 1.67 |
| Away | ldll | 0.25 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.50 | 2.33 | 2.75 |
| Scored | 1.30 | 1.83 | 0.50 |
| Conceded | 1.20 | 0.50 | 2.25 |
| BTTS | 20% | 17% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 50% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 60% | 50% | 75% |
| Expected Goals | 1.40 | 1.70 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.32 | 1.22 | 1.48 |
Barnsley Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wllld | 1.10 |
| Home | wwll | 1.50 |
| Away | lwlld | 0.83 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% | 17% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.40 | 4.25 | 2.83 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 2.50 | 0.67 |
| Conceded | 2.00 | 1.75 | 2.17 |
| BTTS | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Expected Goals | 1.45 | 1.55 | 1.39 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.35 | 0.98 | 1.60 |
Port Vale vs Barnsley Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Port Vale (42%)
12 Matches
Barnsley (50%)
Racing Santander
Barcelona
PSG
Lille
Manchester United
Man City
Real Madrid
Levante
Chelsea
Brentford
Leeds United
Fulham
