Port Vale return to Vale Park after a disappointing 3–0 defeat at Mansfield, but with no fresh injury concerns other than long-term absentee Connor Hall. Given Exeter's ups and downs on the road, we predict a 2-1 home win. The Valiants' home form remains strong despite inconsistencies overall: Vale average 2.40 points per home match, winning 80% of their fixtures. Defensively, they have allowed just 0.40 goals per home game, supported by 60% clean sheets, while producing 2.40 goals scored and 1.66 xG at Vale Park. Their main weakness is unpredictability in attack, having failed to score in 40% of games.
Exeter will travel boosted by a confidence-restoring 3–0 victory over Stevenage, immediately responding to their 10–1 FA Cup humiliation at Man City. Only Pedro Borges is unavailable. Exeter have been outstanding at home with five straight wins, but much less reliable away, taking 0.80 points per game and conceding 3.00 goals per away match. Still, their overall form (WWDLW) is impressive, and they score 1.00 goal per away game with 0.99 xG.
The H2H is tight, with Port Vale leading 8–7 in wins across 17 meetings, suggesting another competitive encounter. As both sides’ games average 2.8–3.2 goals, Over 2.5 goals is our main betting tip for this League One matchup, with additional value on Port Vale to Win and Port Vale Over 1.5 goals.
This League 1 match will be played on Saturday 24 January 2026 at 15:00.
What is our Port Vale vs Exeter prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Port Vale 2 - 1 Exeter
Port Vale vs Exeter Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-1
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Anytime Goalscorer: Devante Cole @ 220 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
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View OfferPort Vale Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwwwl | 1.60 |
| Home | wwlww | 2.40 |
| Away | dllwl | 0.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.80 | 2.80 | 2.80 |
| Scored | 1.50 | 2.40 | 0.60 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 0.40 | 2.20 |
| BTTS | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 20% | 60% |
| Expected Goals | 1.31 | 1.66 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.38 | 1.26 | 1.49 |
Exeter Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwdlw | 1.90 |
| Home | wwwww | 3.00 |
| Away | llwdl | 0.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 100% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.20 | 2.40 | 4.00 |
| Scored | 1.70 | 2.40 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.50 | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| BTTS | 30% | 0% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 60% | 100% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.24 | 1.48 | 0.99 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.46 | 1.05 | 1.88 |
Port Vale vs Exeter Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Port Vale (47%)
17 Matches
Exeter (41%)
Burton
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Man City
Salford
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Lazio
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Newcastle
Inter
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