Stevenage return home looking to get back on course after a narrow 2-1 defeat to Cardiff, but their form at Broadhall Way remains a concern. Steve Evans’ side have collected just 0.50 points per game at home, failing to win any of their last four (DLLD), and scoring only 0.75 goals per match on their own patch. Stevenage also struggle creatively, posting an xG of 1.10 at home, while failing to score in 50% of all league fixtures. On the positive side, they concede relatively few (1.25 per home game) and have managed 40% clean sheets overall. No fresh injury worries for the hosts.
The Pilgrims have been showing signs of improvement, winning four of their last five and boasting an excellent away return of 2.40 points per game. Their road performances have been particularly impressive: 1.60 goals scored, only 0.40 conceded, and a high 60% clean-sheet rate away from home. While Zimbabwe international Brendan Galloway returns from duty, he is unlikely to start. Plymouth’s overall numbers remain balanced, and their 80% away win rate highlights their efficiency on the counter.
Given Stevenage low-scoring run at home; and with Plymouth being defensively solid on the road, Under 2.5 goals is our main betting tip, alongside Draw and HT Draw.
This League 1 match will be played on Thursday 1 January 2026 at 15:00.
What is our Stevenage vs Plymouth prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Stevenage 1 - 1 Plymouth
Stevenage vs Plymouth Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-1
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Goalscorer: Jamie Reid @ 160 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
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View OfferStevenage Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwddl | 1.00 |
| Home | dlld | 0.50 |
| Away | wdwdl | 1.33 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 0% | 33% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 1.70 | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Scored | 0.80 | 0.75 | 0.83 |
| Conceded | 0.90 | 1.25 | 0.67 |
| BTTS | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 25% | 50% |
| Failed to Score | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Expected Goals | 0.97 | 1.10 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.22 | 1.06 | 1.34 |
Plymouth Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwwld | 1.60 |
| Home | llwld | 0.80 |
| Away | lwwww | 2.40 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 20% | 80% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.20 | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| Scored | 1.10 | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| Conceded | 1.10 | 1.80 | 0.40 |
| BTTS | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 20% | 60% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.16 | 1.19 | 1.12 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.48 | 1.50 | 1.46 |
Stevenage vs Plymouth Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Stevenage (14%)
7 Matches
Plymouth (86%)
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