Stevenage host Stockport County to their Lamex Stadium in a tightly poised League One playoff semi-final first leg, with both sides carrying strong momentum into the tie after impressive end-of-season wins. As the two teams seem to be evenly matched at the moment, we predict a 1-1 draw. Stevenage edged Wigan 1-0 to secure their playoff spot and have been particularly strong at home, winning 80% of their last 10 home matches while conceding just 0.4 goals per game. However, they are without key attacking options Harry Cornick and Tyreece Simpson due to injury, which slightly limits their cutting edge.
Despite that, Stevenage remain one of the most defensively reliable sides in the division, with 60% clean sheets across their last 10 matches and a compact structure that has frustrated opponents all season. Stockport County are brimming with confidence after a convincing 3-1 win over Barnsley and boast one of the league’s most potent attacks, averaging 2.1 goals per game. However, injuries to Connolly, Hills, Hoskonen and Onyango reduce squad depth, particularly in defensive areas. Their away matches are typically open, with 80% BTTS and 4.0 total goals per game on the road.
As playoff first legs tend to be cautious and structured, we are tempted to bet on Under 2.5 goals, alongside Half-Time Draw and Draw.
This League 1 match will be played on Saturday 9 May 2026 at 15:00.
What is our Stevenage vs Stockport County prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Stevenage 1 - 1 Stockport County
Stevenage vs Stockport County Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-1 @ 500 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -106 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -1400 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -450 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals @ -163 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -275 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Jamie Reid @ 175 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Jamie Reid @ 500 Odds
- To be Booked: Tayo Edun @ 160 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Stevenage +0.5 @ -236 Odds
- European Handicap: Stevenage +1 @ -250 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: X2 @ -200 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Stevenage to Win @ -138 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: X (Draw)/X (Draw) @ 375 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Stevenage - No @ -250 Odds
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View OfferStevenage Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwdwwldwdw | 1.80 |
| Home | wwdww | 2.60 |
| Away | ldwld | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 1.80 | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Scored | 0.90 | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Conceded | 0.90 | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| BTTS | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 60% | 80% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.22 | 1.38 | 1.05 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.27 | 0.97 | 1.57 |
Stockport County Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwdlwdlwlw | 1.70 |
| Home | wwlwl | 1.80 |
| Away | dlwdw | 1.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.40 | 2.80 | 4.00 |
| Scored | 2.10 | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| BTTS | 60% | 40% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.78 | 1.84 | 1.71 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.41 | 1.29 | 1.57 |
Stevenage vs Stockport County Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Stevenage (67%)
6 Matches
Stockport County (33%)
Stevenage vs Stockport County Past Results
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