What is our Bristol Rovers vs Swindon prediction?
Bristol Rovers
2 - 1
Swindon
Our prediction for this match: Bristol Rovers 2 - 1 Swindon
Bristol Rovers vs Swindon Preview
ristol Rovers will be desperate to get back on course after suffering four consecutive defeats, most recently losing 2-1 to Salford City in midweek. The Pirates did create chances in that match, recording 1.51 expected goals, and they will hope to make home advantage count this time around. Despite their poor overall form, Rovers have won 60% of their recent home matches and conceded just 1.00 goal per game on their own turf. There are no fresh injury concerns, giving the hosts a chance to respond with their strongest available lineup.
Swindon Town, meanwhile, ended a six-game winless streak by beating Barnet 3-1, but the performance was not entirely convincing. Barnet registered a remarkable 3.77 expected goals, suggesting the Robins were fortunate to escape with such a comfortable scoreline. Aaron Drinan will be one to watch after scoring twice in that victory, and the visitors have no fresh injury worries. However, Swindon have scored only 0.75 goals per away game and failed to find the net in 75% of their recent away fixtures.
Both sides have defensive questions to answer, but Bristol Rovers' stronger home record gives them reason to believe they can end their losing streak. With Rovers averaging 1.93 xG at home and Swindon conceding 1.75 goals per away game, Bristol Rovers to Win is our main betting tip, alongside Bristol Rovers Over 1.5 and Over 1.5 goals total.
This League 2 match will be played on Saturday, 24 October 2026 at 12:30.
- Competition
- League 2
- Kick-off
- Sat 24 Oct, 12:30UK time
Bristol Rovers vs Swindon Betting Tips
| Betting Tip | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Correct ScoreBristol Rovers 2-1 Swindon | 15/2 | |
| Double Chance12 | 2/9 | |
| Draw No BetBristol Rovers | 1/4 | |
| Half Time/Full TimeBristol Rovers / Bristol Rovers | 6/4 | |
| Asian HandicapBristol Rovers -0.5 | 13/20 | |
| European HandicapSwindon +2 | 4/9 | |
| Both Teams to ScoreYes | 4/6 | |
| Over / Under 1.5 GoalsOver 1.5 Goals | 1/5 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 GoalsOver 2.5 Goals | 13/20 | |
| Over / Under 3.5 GoalsUnder 3.5 Goals | 4/9 | |
| Over / Under 4.5 GoalsUnder 4.5 Goals | 2/11 | |
| Clean SheetBristol Rovers: No | 4/9 | |
| Anytime GoalscorerEllis Harrison | 5/4 | |
| First GoalscorerEllis Harrison | 9/2 | |
| Total Corners9 - 11 | 13/8 |
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View OfferBristol Rovers Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwllwlllll | 0.90 |
| Home | wwwll | 1.80 |
| Away | lllll | 0.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.60 | 2.20 | 3.00 |
| Scored | 0.80 | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| Conceded | 1.80 | 1.00 | 2.60 |
| BTTS | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 60% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 0% | 60% |
| Expected Goals | 1.53 | 1.93 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.26 | 1.24 | 1.27 |
Swindon Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wlllldlldw | 0.80 |
| Home | wlldld | 0.83 |
| Away | lllw | 0.75 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 17% | 25% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.40 | 2.33 | 2.50 |
| Scored | 0.90 | 1.00 | 0.75 |
| Conceded | 1.50 | 1.33 | 1.75 |
| BTTS | 50% | 67% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 50% | 33% | 75% |
| Expected Goals | 1.26 | 1.35 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.81 | 1.57 | 2.18 |
Bristol Rovers vs Swindon Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Bristol Rovers (44%)
16 Matches
Swindon (44%)
Bristol Rovers vs Swindon Past Results
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