Harrogate vs Swindon Prediction & Betting Tips | 04/01/2026

Harrogate vs Swindon Prediction and Betting Tips | 4 January 2026

Bojan Jovanovic • Football expert

3 January 2026 • 15:20 UTC • 1 min read

Harrogate vs Swindon Prediction and Betting Tips 4 January 2026

Harrogate come off a 2-0 defeat to Tranmere, with defender Tom Bradbury doubtful. Given the Sulphurites' four-game losing run in League Two, we predict that they will suffer a 2-0 loss to Swindon Town. The home side are struggling badly, earning only 0.6 points per game overall, scoring 0.7 goals per game while conceding 1.7, and failing to keep a clean sheet all season. At home, they’ve scored 0.8 goals per game but conceded 2.4, with BTTS at only 20%.

The Robins, on the other hand, have been in an excellent form, winning 4 of their last 5, including a 2-0 win over Gillingham. They average 2.2 points per game overall, scoring 1.7 goals per match and conceding just 0.5. Away, they are particularly strong, averaging 2.25 PPG, with clean sheets in 50% of away matches and BTTS at just 25%. H2H history favors Swindon slightly: in 9 meetings, they’ve won 3, Harrogate 2, and 4 draws. Matches tend to see over 1.5 goals in 78% of games, but over 2.5 goals only occurs in 44%, with BTTS at 56%.

Swindon are seen as one of the main favourites for promotion and given Harrogate's poor form in festive fixtures, Away Win seems like the best betting option for this encounter, with additional value on Under 3.5 goals and Swindon to Score First.

This League 2 match will be played on Sunday 4 January 2026 at 15:00.

What is our Harrogate vs Swindon prediction?

Our prediction for this match: Harrogate 0 - 2 Swindon

Harrogate vs Swindon Betting Tips

Correct Score: 0-2
Both Teams To Score (BTTS): No
Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
Goalscorer: Aaron Drinan @ 130 Odds
Shots on Target (Home): Under 2.5
Shots on Target (Away): Over 4.5
Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds

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Harrogate Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	dllll	0.60
Home	lwlll	0.60
Away	dddll	0.60

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	10%	20%	0%
Average Goals Per Game	2.40	3.20	1.60
Scored	0.70	0.80	0.60
Conceded	1.70	2.40	1.00
BTTS	40%	20%	60%
Clean Sheets	0%	0%	0%
Failed to Score	60%	80%	40%
Expected Goals	1.02	1.02	1.01
Expected Goals Against	2.00	1.96	2.04

Swindon Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	wwlww	2.20
Home	wwlww	2.17
Away	wwlw	2.25

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	70%	67%	75%
Average Goals Per Game	2.20	2.17	2.25
Scored	1.70	1.67	1.75
Conceded	0.50	0.50	0.50
BTTS	20%	17%	25%
Clean Sheets	60%	67%	50%
Failed to Score	20%	17%	25%
Expected Goals	1.36	1.22	1.56
Expected Goals Against	1.50	1.64	1.29