MK Dons vs Newport County Prediction & Betting Tips | 14/02/2026

MK Dons vs Newport County Prediction and Betting Tips | 14 February 2026

Bojan Jovanovic • Football expert

13 February 2026 • 10:41 UTC • 1 min read

MK Dons vs Newport County Prediction and Betting Tips 14 February 2026

MK Dons are brimming with confidence ahead of Saturday's game, unbeaten in three of their last five, including a 3-2 win over Cheltenham Town. Given Newport County's dreadful away record, our prediction firmly points toward a 3-1 home win. The Dons have been solid at home, averaging 1.83 goals scored and just 0.83 conceded per game, with 67% of matches seeing both teams score. Their expected goals (xG) of 1.39 at home indicates consistent attacking output, even with Kane Wilson sidelined.

Newport County, by contrast, have struggled on the road, losing their last five away games while conceding 2.8 goals per match and scoring only 0.8. Despite the return of Cole and Nyakuhwa to the starting XI, their defensive vulnerabilities make them highly susceptible to MK Dons’ home attack. You should bear in mind that Newport County have recorded only one win in the previous ten away games in all competitions.

Given aforementioned statistical data, MK Dons' home form and head-to-head advantage, punters worldwide can find value in betting on Home Win, alongside MK Dons Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 goals total.

This League 2 match will be played on Saturday 14 February 2026 at 15:00.

What is our MK Dons vs Newport County prediction?

Our prediction for this match: MK Dons 3 - 1 Newport County

MK Dons vs Newport County Betting Tips

Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -600 Odds
Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Over 3.5 Goals @ 162 Odds
Anytime Goalscorer: Aaron Collins @ -105 Odds
First Goalscorer: Aaron Collins @ 350 Odds
Asian Handicap: Newport County +2.5 @ -334 Odds
European Handicap: Newport County +3 @ -350 Odds
Shots on Target (Home): Over 7.5
Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
Shots on Target (Total): Over 9.5
Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
Double Chance: 12 @ -600 Odds
Draw No Bet: Milton Keynes Dons to Win @ -900 Odds
Clean Sheet: Milton Keynes Dons - No @ -125 Odds

Where Can You Place Bets on MK Dons vs Newport County?

You can place your bets on MK Dons vs Newport County at the following bookmakers:

18+. GambleAware.org. New GB customers only. Min £10 debit card deposit. Place a £10+ bet at Evens or greater (2.0) each leg on Sports within 7 days. Opt in for £20 in free bets. Valid for 7 days. Geographical restrictions and T&C’s apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+

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18+. New customers using Promo code TOP30 only, Min £10/€10/$10 stake, min odds 1.5, free bets paid as 2 x £15/€15/$15, free bets credited after settlement of first qualifying bet, free bets will expire 30 days after the qualifying bet is settled, payment method/player/country restrictions apply. See full terms below. Play responsibly. Gamblingtherapy.org #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+

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18+ New UK+ROI customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4 x £/€5 free bets (selected sportsbook markets only, valid 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+

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18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+

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MK Dons Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	wwwdw	1.90
Home	dddww	2.00
Away	lwdw	1.75

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	50%	50%	50%
Average Goals Per Game	2.80	2.67	3.00
Scored	1.80	1.83	1.75
Conceded	1.00	0.83	1.25
BTTS	60%	67%	50%
Clean Sheets	30%	33%	25%
Failed to Score	10%	0%	25%
Expected Goals	1.36	1.39	1.30
Expected Goals Against	1.38	1.39	1.37

Newport County Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	wlldl	0.80
Home	dwwld	1.60
Away	lllll	0.00

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	20%	40%	0%
Average Goals Per Game	2.80	2.00	3.60
Scored	0.90	1.00	0.80
Conceded	1.90	1.00	2.80
BTTS	50%	40%	60%
Clean Sheets	30%	60%	0%
Failed to Score	40%	40%	40%
Expected Goals	1.24	1.36	1.12
Expected Goals Against	1.54	1.34	1.73