MK Dons head into the last game of the year on the back of a narrow but deserved 1-0 Boxing Day win over Swindon, a result that strengthened their already impressive home record. Given Notts County's defensive struggles on the road, our prediction points toward a 2-1 home win. The Dons' attacking numbers remain strong, scoring 1.50 goals per game at home with a 50% BTTS rate, while their expected goals at home (1.32) reflects consistent chance creation. Defensively they’ve also shown improvement, keeping 33% clean sheets in front of their fans. Defender Kane Wilson is still sidelined, though his absence was barely felt in their latest victory thanks to the side’s growing stability.
Notts County, meanwhile, look to respond after a disappointing 2-0 defeat to Chesterfield, though their overall form remains solid with 1.50 PPG. The Magpies have been far more dangerous away from home, scoring 1.40 goals per match and winning 60% of their road fixtures. Their xG(A) away (1.63) suggests defensive vulnerability, but their forward output often compensates. There are no new injury concerns in the squad, which should help them maintain continuity.
As both sides average 3.0+ total goals across their home/away splits, we are tempted to place our bets on Over 2.5 goals, with additional value on BTTS and MK Dons Draw No Bet.
This League 2 match will be played on Monday 29 December 2025 at 19:45.
What is our MK Dons vs Notts County prediction?
Our prediction for this match: MK Dons 3 - 2 Notts County
MK Dons vs Notts County Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 3-2
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Goalscorer: Aaron Collins @ 140 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 7.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 12.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
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View OfferMK Dons Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wldww | 1.80 |
| Home | wwwdw | 2.17 |
| Away | ddlw | 1.25 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 67% | 25% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.30 | 2.67 | 4.25 |
| Scored | 1.90 | 1.50 | 2.50 |
| Conceded | 1.40 | 1.17 | 1.75 |
| BTTS | 60% | 50% | 75% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 33% | 25% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 17% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.46 | 1.32 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.25 | 1.28 | 1.21 |
Notts County Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwwdl | 1.50 |
| Home | ldlwd | 1.00 |
| Away | dwwwl | 2.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 20% | 60% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.50 | 2.60 | 2.40 |
| Scored | 1.20 | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.24 | 1.47 | 1.01 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.27 | 0.91 | 1.63 |
MK Dons vs Notts County Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
MK Dons (53%)
17 Matches
Notts County (24%)
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