Shrewsbury are brimming with confidence following a 1-0 win over Harrogate, but given their defensive struggles on the travels, we predict that they will suffer a 3-1 loss to MK Dons on Matchday 28. The Dons take confidence from a professional 2–0 win over Accrington, and with no fresh injury concerns Paul Warne is expected to stick with the same XI. Their overall metrics remain solid: 1.70 goals scored per match and BTTS landing in 60% of their games, rising to 83% at home, which highlights both their attacking intent and defensive inconsistency. Despite drawing their last three home matches, Dons create enough (xG 1.35) to suggest they should again find the net.
Shrewsbury finally ended a four-game losing run with the aforementioned triumph over Harrogate and also report no new injuries. However, their away form remains concerning: 0.80 points per game, 2.40 goals conceded per match, and zero clean sheets on the road. Their xGA of 1.79 away further underlines how vulnerable they are when pushed back. Even so, the Shrews tend to score (BTTS 80% away), helped by a steady xG output of 1.22.
Considering MK Dons' stronger metrics and better structure, especially at home, we are tempted to place our bets on Home Win, with additional value on BTTS and Over 2.5 goals as both sides struggle at the back.
This League 2 match will be played on Saturday 24 January 2026 at 15:00.
What is our MK Dons vs Shrewsbury prediction?
Our prediction for this match: MK Dons 3 - 1 Shrewsbury
MK Dons vs Shrewsbury Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 3-1
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Anytime Goalscorer: Aaron Collins @ 110 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 7.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 9.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
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View OfferMK Dons Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dlddw | 1.60 |
| Home | dwddd | 1.67 |
| Away | lwlw | 1.50 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 33% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.70 | 2.50 | 3.00 |
| Scored | 1.70 | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Conceded | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 60% | 83% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 17% | 50% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 25% |
| Expected Goals | 1.45 | 1.35 | 1.61 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.26 | 1.30 | 1.21 |
Shrewsbury Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | llllw | 0.90 |
| Home | ddllw | 1.00 |
| Away | wdlll | 0.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.00 | 2.60 | 3.40 |
| Scored | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 2.00 | 1.60 | 2.40 |
| BTTS | 60% | 40% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.34 | 1.47 | 1.22 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.60 | 1.41 | 1.79 |
MK Dons vs Shrewsbury Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
MK Dons (41%)
17 Matches
Shrewsbury (29%)
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