Newport County return to Rodney Parade looking to get back on course after a 3–2 defeat at Gillingham, and despite Keenan Patten’s long-term absence, the squad is otherwise in good health. However, we predict a 2-1 win over Chesterfield, who look sharp up front on the travels. Newport's home numbers, however, show inconsistency: just 1.25 points per game, 25% win rate, and only 1.00 goal scored per home match. Defensively the Exiles are more solid at home than away, conceding only 1.00 goal per match, backed by a respectable 1.57 xGA figure. Still, overall form of LDWLL highlights their struggle to control games.
Chesterfield, meanwhile, are unbeaten in four, including a goalless draw with Bromley, and even without key defender Lewis Gordon, their underlying metrics are stronger. Away from home the Spireites collect 1.20 points per game, score consistently (1.20 per match), and rarely fail to create chances. Their xGA of 1.40 on the road is manageable, and they’ve kept 40% clean sheets in recent matches. Importantly, their H2H history heavily favours them: four wins from five against Newport.
As Chesterfield score 80% of away matches, we believe that there is big value in betting on Chesterfield Over 1.5, alongside Away Win and Over 2.5 goals total (4 of last 5 H2H meetings went over).
This League 2 match will be played on Saturday 24 January 2026 at 15:00.
What is our Newport County vs Chesterfield prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Newport County 1 - 2 Chesterfield
Newport County vs Chesterfield Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-2
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Anytime Goalscorer: Lee Bonis @ 120 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
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View OfferNewport County Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ldwll | 0.60 |
| Home | dldw | 1.25 |
| Away | ldlll | 0.17 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 25% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.10 | 2.00 | 3.83 |
| Scored | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 2.10 | 1.00 | 2.83 |
| BTTS | 50% | 25% | 67% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 50% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Expected Goals | 1.33 | 1.47 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.86 | 1.57 | 2.06 |
Chesterfield Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wlddd | 1.30 |
| Home | lwwld | 1.40 |
| Away | ldwdd | 1.20 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.50 | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| Scored | 1.20 | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| BTTS | 60% | 40% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 40% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.19 | 1.29 | 1.10 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.26 | 1.12 | 1.40 |
Newport County vs Chesterfield Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Newport County (20%)
5 Matches
Chesterfield (80%)
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