Notts County and Swindon Town meet in a clash between two early top-seven contenders, with both teams looking to build consistency. Our prediction, though, points toward a 2-1 home win as Notts County are a real force to be reckoned with at home. The Magpies head into the midweek fixture after a narrow 1-0 win over Crewe and remain without only Rodney McDonald. Their recent numbers are solid: they take 1.70 points per game overall, and although their home return is slightly lower at 1.40 PPG, they still average 2.20 total goals per home match, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.20. Their home expected goals of 1.48 indicates they usually create enough chances, while a clean sheet rate of 40% shows defensive reliability.
Swindon suffered a 2-1 defeat to Bromley but remain competitive. With 1.50 PPG both home and away, they offer balanced performances, and their away scoring rate of 1.67 goals per game stands out. However, defensively they concede 1.17 goals per away match, with an xGA of 1.52, suggesting vulnerabilities against teams who press high. The Robins do, however, keep 33% clean sheets on the road. There are no fresh injury worries for the visiting team.
Historically, Notts County hold a slight H2H advantage (8 wins to 7), and both sides typically produce goals in this fixture. As both sides average over 1.0 goals scored and concede regularly, we are tempted to bet on BTTS, alongside Over 2.5 goals and Home Win.
This League 2 match will be played on Tuesday 27 January 2026 at 19:45.
What is our Notts County vs Swindon prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Notts County 2 - 1 Swindon
Notts County vs Swindon Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-1
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Anytime Goalscorer: Alassana Jatta @ 162 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
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View OfferNotts County Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ldlww | 1.70 |
| Home | lwdlw | 1.40 |
| Away | wwldw | 2.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.10 | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| Scored | 1.10 | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Conceded | 1.00 | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| BTTS | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.23 | 1.48 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.28 | 1.03 | 1.53 |
Swindon Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwlll | 1.50 |
| Home | lwwl | 1.50 |
| Away | lwwll | 1.50 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.60 | 2.25 | 2.83 |
| Scored | 1.50 | 1.25 | 1.67 |
| Conceded | 1.10 | 1.00 | 1.17 |
| BTTS | 40% | 25% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| Expected Goals | 1.32 | 1.06 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.51 | 1.50 | 1.52 |
Notts County vs Swindon Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Notts County (47%)
17 Matches
Swindon (41%)
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