Swindon Town continue their push for automatic promotion from second place and come into this fixture after a morale-boosting 2–1 win over Barnet, sealed by Ollie Clarke’s brace. As Crewe continue to struggle up front away from home, we predict a 3-1 home win. Injuries to Minturn, Smith and Tafazolli limit Swindon's depth, but Swindon’s home output remains strong: 2.25 PPG, 75% home win rate, and 2.50 goals scored per home match. Their matches rarely lack action, with 3.50 average goals at the County Ground and 70% BTTS overall, supported by an xG profile of 1.41 xG and 1.35 xGA at home.
Crewe Alexandra sit 8th and remain firmly in the playoff hunt, although they travel without Lankester, Tabiner, Tezgel and Tracey. Crewe’s form is solid (1.80 PPG overall), and they’ve conceded just 1.00 goal per away match, but their attack is less reliable on the road (1.00 scored). Their xGA away sits at 1.45, hinting at vulnerability when facing sides with strong home momentum.
H2H history leans Swindon’s way (11 wins from 24), and the goal trends are striking: 79% over 1.5 and 71% over 2.5 between these clubs. Therefore, our predictions leans toward Home Win, alongside Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 goals.
This League 2 match will be played on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 12:30.
What is our Swindon vs Crewe prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Swindon 3 - 1 Crewe
Swindon vs Crewe Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 3-1 @ 1400 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -150 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -800 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Over 3.5 Goals @ 200 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -125 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -400 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Aaron Drinan @ 150 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Aaron Drinan @ 500 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Swindon 0 @ -223 Odds
- European Handicap: Swindon +1 @ -350 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 7.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 9.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
- Double Chance: 1X @ -350 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Swindon to Win @ -225 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Swindon to Win/Swindon to Win @ 210 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Swindon - No @ -250 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Swindon vs Crewe?
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View OfferSwindon Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwwlw | 1.50 |
| Home | lwww | 2.25 |
| Away | llwlw | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 75% | 33% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.30 | 3.50 | 3.17 |
| Scored | 1.80 | 2.50 | 1.33 |
| Conceded | 1.50 | 1.00 | 1.83 |
| BTTS | 70% | 50% | 83% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 50% | 17% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.43 | 1.41 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.56 | 1.35 | 1.70 |
Crewe Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wdwwl | 1.80 |
| Home | dwwwl | 2.17 |
| Away | lddw | 1.25 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 67% | 25% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.20 | 2.33 | 2.00 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 1.67 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 0.80 | 0.67 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 33% | 25% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 17% | 25% |
| Expected Goals | 1.23 | 1.19 | 1.29 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.59 | 1.67 | 1.45 |
Swindon vs Crewe Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Swindon (46%)
24 Matches
Crewe (33%)
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