As Auxerre and Metz have been involved in some low-scoring games in the past, our prediction points toward a 1-1 draw. The hosts head into this match in poor form with 0.60 PPG across their last five and only 0.50 goals scored per game overall. At home they’ve been slightly better defensively, allowing 0.80 goals with 40% clean sheets, but their attacking issues persist as they’ve failed to score in 60% of all matches. Their underlying numbers remain modest with 1.29 expected goals at home. There are no fresh injury worries for the hosts, giving them some tactical continuity.
Les Grenats, on the other hand, have shown more punch despite inconsistency. They’ve won 3 of their last 5, averaging 1.40 PPG at home but only 0.60 away, where they concede a high 3.60 goals and allow 2.04 xGA. Their attack is slightly stronger than Auxerre’s, scoring 1.40 away, though their defensive frailty could again be exposed. Importantly, forward Cheikh Sabaly is expected to miss out, weakening Metz’s attacking threat.
With both teams struggling offensively, another tight affair is likely. Therefore, all Under 2.5 goals, Draw and HT Draw bets seem appealing.
This Ligue 1 match will be played on Sunday 7 December 2025 at 16:15.
What is our Auxerre vs Metz prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Auxerre 1 - 1 Metz
Auxerre vs Metz Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-1
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Goalscorer: Ryan Rodin @ 162 Odds
- To be booked: Moustapha Diop @ 160 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
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View OfferAuxerre Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | llldd | 0.60 |
| Home | wllld | 0.80 |
| Away | ldlld | 0.40 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 1.90 | 1.20 | 2.60 |
| Scored | 0.50 | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| Conceded | 1.40 | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| BTTS | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 40% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Expected Goals | 1.19 | 1.29 | 1.09 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.41 | 1.20 | 1.62 |
Metz Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwwll | 1.00 |
| Home | dlwwl | 1.40 |
| Away | lllwl | 0.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.40 | 1.80 | 5.00 |
| Scored | 1.10 | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Conceded | 2.30 | 1.00 | 3.60 |
| BTTS | 40% | 20% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.06 | 1.14 | 0.98 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.70 | 1.35 | 2.04 |
Auxerre vs Metz Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Auxerre (57%)
7 Matches
Metz (29%)
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