Auxerre continue to slide down the table following a narrow 1-0 defeat to leaders Lens, a match that once again exposed their attacking limitations. As their next rivals PSG are even stronger, we predict a 3-1 away win. Both Buayi-Kiala and Sierralta remain sidelined for the hosts, further weakening a squad that has already struggled to compete at Ligue 1 level. Auxerre’s home numbers underline the problem: just 0.8 points per game, a 20% win rate, and despite averaging 1.40 goals scored at home, they still concede 1.60 per match. With 60% BTTS at home and 40% overall failed-to-score, inconsistency remains their biggest issue.
PSG arrive with clear motivation, aiming to reclaim top spot after falling just short in their 2-1 Champions League loss to Sporting CP, a match they dominated statistically. Luis Enrique has a near full squad available, with Joao Neves the only key absentee, and the visitors’ overall form (WDLWL) remains strong enough. PSG average 3.00 goals per game, keep 40% clean sheets, and boast an impressive 2.17 xG per match. Historically, they have dominated this fixture with 7 wins from 13 meetings.
Given Auxerre's poor form and PSG's title ambitions, Away Win is our main betting pick for this Ligue 1 matchup, alongside PSG/PSG and Over 2.5 goals.
This Ligue 1 match will be played on Friday 23 January 2026 at 19:00.
What is our Auxerre vs PSG prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Auxerre 1 - 3 PSG
Auxerre vs PSG Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-3
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Anytime Goalscorer: Goncalo Ramos @ -105 Odds
- To be booked: Sinaly Diomande @ 210 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 7.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 9.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
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View OfferAuxerre Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wllll | 0.50 |
| Home | ldwll | 0.80 |
| Away | lldll | 0.20 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.50 | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| Scored | 0.80 | 1.40 | 0.20 |
| Conceded | 1.70 | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| BTTS | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 60% | 40% | 80% |
| Expected Goals | 1.30 | 1.62 | 0.99 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.42 | 1.32 | 1.51 |
PSG Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wdlwl | 1.80 |
| Home | dwdlw | 1.83 |
| Away | dwwl | 1.75 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.00 | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Scored | 2.10 | 2.17 | 2.00 |
| Conceded | 0.90 | 0.83 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 33% | 50% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 17% | 25% |
| Expected Goals | 2.17 | 2.22 | 2.10 |
| Expected Goals Against | 0.97 | 0.98 | 0.95 |
Auxerre vs PSG Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Auxerre (15%)
13 Matches
PSG (54%)
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