Brest return to home action aiming to extend their strong form at Stade Francis-Le Ble, but with Olympique Marseille eyeing a spot in the Champions League, we predict a 2-1 away win. Les Pirates earned a hard-fought draw against Lille and continue to be one of Ligue 1’s toughest home outfits, averaging 2.25 points per game and winning 75% of their matches on home soil. Defensively, they have been excellent at home, conceding just 0.50 goals per game and keeping 75% clean sheets. However, with limited depth due to injuries, their attacking output remains modest at 1.25 goals per home match. All Balde, Coulibaly, and Locko are injured for the hosts, which supports our betting angle.
OM, on the other hand, arrive with no fresh injury concerns and full focus on securing a Champions League spot. Their away form has been mixed (wwldl), but they carry real attacking danger, scoring 3.00 goals per game on their travels. At the same time, their open style means Roberto de Zerbi's men concede 2.33 goals per away match, often producing high-scoring encounters. Their expected goals away (xG 2.04) underline their forward threat.
Recent history also leans Marseille’s way: they’ve won 11 of the last 18 meetings, with 61% of those matches seeing over 2.5 goals. Therefore, we are tempted to bet on Away Win, with additional value on Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 goals.
This Ligue 1 match will be played on Friday 20 February 2026 at 19:45.
What is our Brest vs Marseille prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Brest 1 - 2 Marseille
Brest vs Marseille Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-2 @ 750 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -163 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -600 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -225 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -138 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -450 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Mason Greenwood @ 125 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Mason Greenwood @ 450 Odds
- To be Booked: Facundo Medina @ 140 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Marseille 0 @ -250 Odds
- European Handicap: Brest +2 @ -334 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -350 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Marseille to Win @ -250 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Marseille to Win/Marseille to Win @ 200 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Marseille - No @ -275 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Brest vs Marseille?
You can place your bets on Brest vs Marseille at the following bookmakers:
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View OfferBrest Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lldwd | 1.50 |
| Home | wwlw | 2.25 |
| Away | ldldd | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 75% | 17% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.50 | 1.75 | 3.00 |
| Scored | 1.30 | 1.25 | 1.33 |
| Conceded | 1.20 | 0.50 | 1.67 |
| BTTS | 60% | 0% | 100% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 75% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 25% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.27 | 1.34 | 1.22 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.44 | 1.12 | 1.65 |
Marseille Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ldwld | 1.50 |
| Home | lwwd | 1.75 |
| Away | wwldl | 1.33 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 4.60 | 3.50 | 5.33 |
| Scored | 2.60 | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| Conceded | 2.00 | 1.50 | 2.33 |
| BTTS | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Expected Goals | 1.75 | 1.31 | 2.04 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.27 | 1.16 | 1.34 |
Brest vs Marseille Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Brest (22%)
18 Matches
Marseille (61%)
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