Lille continue to search for fluency in attack after a frustrating 0-0 draw with Metz, a match in which the absence of Hamza Igamane was clear. Given Lille's poor form, we predict that they will play out a 1-1 draw with Brest on Matchday 22. With the key forward still sidelined, veteran Olivier Giroud is expected to lead the line for the hosts. Les Dogues' attacking output has been modest all season, averaging just 1.00 goal per match and failing to score in 60% of their league outings. Their home form mirrors that inconsistency with a 20% win rate and 1.20 goals scored per match. Even so, they remain defensively reliable, keeping 40% clean sheets at Stade Pierre-Mauroy.
Brest, on the other hand, are in solid form, collecting 1.70 points per game overall and coming off a confident 2-0 home win over Lorient. Les Pirates are particularly strong at home, but more unpredictable on the road, winning just 20% of away matches and conceding 1.80 goals per game. Still, Brest consistently find the net away from home—scoring in 100% of their trips—and their offensive metrics (1.21 xG away) suggest they will trouble Lille’s back line.
With Lille struggling creatively and Brest carrying momentum, a tight game is expected. Given Lille’s low-scoring profile and strong defence, Under 2.5 goals is our main betting tip, alongside Half-Time Draw and Draw.
This Ligue 1 match will be played on Saturday 14 February 2026 at 18:00.
What is our Lille vs Brest prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Lille 1 - 1 Brest
Lille vs Brest Betting Tips
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -800 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -275 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Matah Yondjio @ 110 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Matah Yondjio @ 375 Odds
- To be Booked: Brendan Chardonnet @ 225 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Brest +1.5 @ -200 Odds
- European Handicap: Brest +2 @ -200 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 1X @ -700 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Lille to Win @ -350 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: X (Draw)/X (Draw) @ 500 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Lille - No @ -150 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Lille vs Brest?
You can place your bets on Lille vs Brest at the following bookmakers:
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View OfferLille Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | llwld | 1.00 |
| Home | lllw | 0.75 |
| Away | wllld | 1.17 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.60 | 2.75 | 2.50 |
| Scored | 0.90 | 0.75 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.70 | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| BTTS | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 25% | 50% |
| Expected Goals | 1.51 | 1.45 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.23 | 1.28 | 1.19 |
Brest Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wlldw | 1.70 |
| Home | wwwlw | 2.40 |
| Away | wldld | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.80 | 2.40 | 3.20 |
| Scored | 1.50 | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| BTTS | 60% | 20% | 100% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 60% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.35 | 1.48 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.30 | 1.06 | 1.53 |
Lille vs Brest Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Lille (50%)
18 Matches
Brest (22%)
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