What is our Lille vs Brest prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Lille 2 - 0 Brest
Lille vs Brest Preview
Lille will be aiming to put their 3-0 Champions League defeat to Arsenal behind them when they take on Brest at the Decathlon Arena. Despite the European setback, Les Dogues have been strong on home soil, winning three of their last five matches there. Ayase Ueda’s injury could open the door for experienced striker Olivier Giroud to lead the line, while Tiago Santos is again expected to miss out. Lille have averaged 1.80 goals per home game, and a return to domestic action could help them rediscover their attacking rhythm.
Brest arrive in confident mood after thrashing Angers 5-1, a result that showcased their attacking potential. Les Pirates have scored regularly in recent weeks, although their defensive record remains less convincing, with no clean sheets across their last ten matches. Mama Balde is doubtful after picking up a knock, but Brest will still hope to exploit any fatigue or uncertainty in Lille’s back line. Their recent away games have also been lively, with both sides scoring in 75% of those fixtures.
Lille’s home advantage and greater consistency make Home Win our main betting tip, alongside Lille to Score First and Giroud to Score.
This Ligue 1 match will be played on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 19:45.
- Competition
- Ligue 1
- Kick-off
- Sat 17 Oct, 19:45UK time
Lille vs Brest Betting Tips
| Betting Tip | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Correct ScoreLille 2-0 Brest | 1000 | |
| Double Chance1X | -334 | |
| Draw No BetLille | -200 | |
| Half Time/Full TimeLille / Lille | 240 | |
| Asian HandicapLille 0 | -182 | |
| European HandicapLille +1 | -334 | |
| Both Teams to ScoreNo | 110 | |
| Over / Under 1.5 GoalsOver 1.5 Goals | -400 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 GoalsUnder 2.5 Goals | 100 | |
| Over / Under 3.5 GoalsUnder 3.5 Goals | -250 | |
| Over / Under 4.5 GoalsUnder 4.5 Goals | -700 | |
| Clean SheetLille: Yes | 200 | |
| Anytime GoalscorerOlivier Giroud | 175 | |
| First GoalscorerOlivier Giroud | 550 | |
| To be BookedLudovic Ajorque | 210 | |
| Total Corners9 - 11 | 162 |
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View OfferLille Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwdwlwlwwl | 1.70 |
| Home | dlwww | 2.00 |
| Away | dwwll | 1.40 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.60 | 3.00 | 2.20 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.20 | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| BTTS | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.22 | 1.01 | 1.39 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.78 | 1.64 | 1.89 |
Brest Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | llddddwllw | 1.00 |
| Home | ldddlw | 1.00 |
| Away | ldwl | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 17% | 25% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.30 | 3.67 | 2.75 |
| Scored | 1.70 | 2.00 | 1.25 |
| Conceded | 1.60 | 1.67 | 1.50 |
| BTTS | 80% | 83% | 75% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 17% | 25% |
| Expected Goals | 1.76 | 1.92 | 1.51 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.33 | 1.08 | 1.69 |
Lille vs Brest Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Lille (47%)
19 Matches
Brest (21%)





