Lille will be aiming to extend their winning run to four games in all competitions, but with Olympique Marseille being in a fine form as well, our prediction leans toward a 1-1 draw. Following a 4-2 win over Paris FC, les Dogues defeated Le Havre 1-0 in their last league match to keep their title hopes alive. As Lille have been averaging 3.60 goals per game at home of late, Home Team Over 0.5 goals seems like a sure betting option. Ayyoub Bouaddi is banned for the match, but the good news for the hosts is that important attacker Olivier Giroud has overcome his minor injury.
OM, on the other hand, have been involved in some high-scoring games of late, with 88% of their last 9 Ligue 1 games featuring over 2.5 goals. Marseille have been averaging 2.00 goals on the road, but we predict that they will adopt a cautious approach in Saturday’s derby. Roberto De Zerbi has no fresh injury worries ahead of the trip to Lille.
Given Lille’s and Marseille’s attacking potentials, BTTS seems like the safest betting option here, with additional value on Half-Time Draw.
This Ligue 1 match will be played on Friday 5 December 2025 at 20:00.
What is our Lille vs Marseille prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Lille 1 - 1 Marseille
Lille vs Marseille Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-1
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Goalscorer: Mason Greenwood @ 150 Odds
- To be booked: Facundo Medina @ 137 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
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View OfferLille Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | llwww | 1.80 |
| Home | lwwww | 2.40 |
| Away | wlllw | 1.20 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.30 | 5.00 | 1.60 |
| Scored | 2.10 | 3.60 | 0.60 |
| Conceded | 1.20 | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 30% | 60% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 0% | 60% |
| Expected Goals | 1.94 | 2.27 | 1.61 |
| Expected Goals Against | 0.96 | 0.84 | 1.08 |
Marseille Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwwwd | 1.70 |
| Home | dlwwd | 1.83 |
| Away | llww | 1.50 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.60 | 3.83 | 3.25 |
| Scored | 2.30 | 2.50 | 2.00 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 1.33 | 1.25 |
| BTTS | 70% | 67% | 75% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 17% | 25% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 17% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.69 | 1.97 | 1.16 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.18 | 1.13 | 1.30 |
Lille vs Marseille Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Lille (29%)
34 Matches
Marseille (41%)
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