Fresh from a tight 1-0 win over Angers, Lille aim to build on that momentum as they host Nantes on Matchday 24. With les Canaris struggling defensively on the road, we predict a 2-1 home win. Statistically, Lille’s domestic form has been underwhelming, taking 0.80 points per game both overall and at home, while scoring only 0.80 goals per match at Stade Pierre-Mauroy. Their xG numbers (1.54 home xG) suggest they create more than they convert, but their defensive record remains stable with 1.09 xGA. Olivier Giroud, who netted the decisive goal at the weekend, is expected to lead the line again.
Nantes, meanwhile, finally stopped a four-game losing streak with a confident 2-0 win over Le Havre. Their away output has been notably better, averaging 1.20 points per game and scoring 2.00 goals per away match. Defensive vulnerabilities persist, though, with 2.40 goals conceded on the road. Ignatius Ganago is unlikely to feature due to a minor injury setback.
In the H2H department, Lille dominate this fixture with 17 wins from 27 meetings, further boosting their confidence. Considering their H2H dominance and improving momentum, our main prediction leans toward Home Win, with additional value on Lille Over 2.5 goals and Both Teams to Score as Nantes score away regularly but concede heavily.
This Ligue 1 match will be played on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 16:15.
What is our Lille vs Nantes prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Lille 2 - 1 Nantes
Lille vs Nantes Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-1 @ 750 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -111 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -700 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -275 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -125 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -400 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Matah Yondjio @ 110 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Matah Yondjio @ 375 Odds
- To be Booked: Benjamin Andre @ 210 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Nantes +1.5 @ -191 Odds
- European Handicap: Lille +1 @ -700 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -450 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Lille to Win @ -550 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Lille to Win/Lille to Win @ 137 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Lille - No @ -150 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Lille vs Nantes?
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View OfferLille Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lddlw | 0.80 |
| Home | llwdl | 0.80 |
| Away | llldw | 0.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.00 | 2.40 | 1.60 |
| Scored | 0.60 | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| Conceded | 1.40 | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| BTTS | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 20% | 60% |
| Expected Goals | 1.57 | 1.54 | 1.60 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.01 | 1.09 | 0.92 |
Nantes Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | llllw | 1.00 |
| Home | dlllw | 0.80 |
| Away | lwwll | 1.20 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.50 | 2.60 | 4.40 |
| Scored | 1.50 | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Conceded | 2.00 | 1.60 | 2.40 |
| BTTS | 70% | 60% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.31 | 1.37 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.27 | 1.02 | 1.53 |
Lille vs Nantes Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Lille (63%)
27 Matches
Nantes (7%)
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