Lorient vs Nice Prediction & Betting Tips | 30/11/2025

Lorient vs Nice Prediction and Betting Tips | 30 November 2025

Bojan Jovanovic • Football expert

30 November 2025 • 04:36 UTC • 1 min read

Lorient vs Nice Prediction and Betting Tips 30 November 2025

A tightly balanced matchup is expected at Stade du Moustoir, with a 1–1 correct score emerging as the most data-friendly projection given both sides’ defensive fragility and strong BTTS tendencies. Lorient come into the clash without a win in the last five fixtures, yet their home numbers show clear improvement: 1.50 points per game, 100% BTTS and an average of 3.50 goals per match. They score twice per home outing but still concede 1.50, underlining why clean sheets have not been on the menu this season. There are no fresh injury worries in the home team.

Nice are similarly unpredictable, losing four of their last five but still carrying enough attacking threat to trouble any opponent. Their season-long BTTS rate of 80%, combined with 2.83 average goals in away fixtures, paints a picture of a team that scores regularly (1.17 goals) but concedes just as often (1.67). The expected goals of 2.22 away from home is a worrying trend, explaining their drop-off after a promising start. Sofiane Diop is expected to miss out with injury, though the Morocco midfielder isn’t a consistent starter anyway.

With both defences underperforming and historical H2H numbers showing 60% BTTS, this betting option is our main choice, with additional value on Over 2.5 goals and Over 9.5 corners.

This Ligue 1 match will be played on Sunday 30 November 2025 at 16:15.

What is our Lorient vs Nice prediction?

Our prediction for this match: Lorient 2 - 2 Nice

Lorient vs Nice Betting Tips

Correct Score: 2-2
Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
Goalscorer: Sambou Soumano @ 175 Odds
To be booked: Igor Carioca @ 160 Odds
Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
Shots on Target (Away): Over 4.5
Shots on Target (Total): Over 9.5
Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds

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Lorient Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	ldldd	0.80
Home	wddd	1.50
Away	dllld	0.33

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	10%	25%	0%
Average Goals Per Game	2.90	3.50	2.50
Scored	1.00	2.00	0.33
Conceded	1.90	1.50	2.17
BTTS	60%	100%	33%
Clean Sheets	0%	0%	0%
Failed to Score	40%	0%	67%
Expected Goals	1.23	1.37	1.14
Expected Goals Against	1.29	1.27	1.31

Nice Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	lllll	1.00
Home	wwll	1.50
Away	lwlll	0.67

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	30%	50%	17%
Average Goals Per Game	3.40	4.25	2.83
Scored	1.30	1.75	1.00
Conceded	2.10	2.50	1.83
BTTS	70%	75%	67%
Clean Sheets	10%	25%	0%
Failed to Score	20%	0%	33%
Expected Goals	0.95	1.13	0.86
Expected Goals Against	2.14	2.34	2.04