A balanced yet lively contest is anticipated at Groupama Stadium, with a 2–1 Lyon victory emerging as the most statistically suitable correct score given both teams’ trends in scoring and conceding. Lyon’s home form remains their main strength this season, collecting 1.80 points per game and winning 60% of matches in front of their supporters. With 1.80 goals scored per home outing and expected goals (xG) numbers holding firm at 1.36, they consistently create chances. Their defensive output at home is also more reliable than on the road, conceding just 1.20 goals on average and keeping 40% clean sheets. There are no fresh injury worries in the home team.
Nantes, meanwhile, have been stronger away (1.20 PPG) than at home, but their inconsistency is reflected in a single win from their last five fixtures (WL LDD). They concede 1.00 goal per away match, yet their xGA balloons to 1.90, suggesting they often allow more opportunities than the scoreline shows. H2H history reinforces Lyon’s edge: 15 wins in 26 meetings and 42% clean sheets underline their long-term superiority. Clinton Mata is a doubt for this match, but his possible absence shouldn’t influence our betting angle.
A narrow but deserved Lyon win fits the statistical pattern, with all Home Win, Over 2.5 goals and Home Team Over 1.5 betting markers boasting big value.
This Ligue 1 match will be played on Sunday 30 November 2025 at 19:45.
What is our Lyon vs Nantes prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Lyon 2 - 1 Nantes
Lyon vs Nantes Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-1
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Goalscorer: Malick Fofana @ 125 Odds
- To be booked: Jean-Kevin Duverne @ 175 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
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View OfferLyon Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ddlld | 1.20 |
| Home | wlwwl | 1.80 |
| Away | lddld | 0.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.80 | 3.00 | 2.60 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.40 | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| BTTS | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 0% | 60% |
| Expected Goals | 1.46 | 1.36 | 1.57 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.17 | 1.14 | 1.21 |
Nantes Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wlldd | 0.80 |
| Home | dllld | 0.40 |
| Away | lddwd | 1.20 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.80 | 3.60 | 2.00 |
| Scored | 1.10 | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.70 | 2.40 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.15 | 1.38 | 0.92 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.71 | 1.53 | 1.90 |
Lyon vs Nantes Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Lyon (58%)
26 Matches
Nantes (15%)
Crystal Palace
KuPS
Shamrock Rovers
Hamrun
Sigma Olomuc
Lech Poznan
Slovan Bratislava
Hacken
Sparta Prague
Aberdeen
Strasbourg
Breidablik
