Lyon come into this clash as the hottest team in Ligue 1, winning five out of five under their new structure and delivering a perfect 3.00 PPG both home and away. Therefore, we predict that Les Gones will defeat Nice 2-1 on Matchady 22. Offensively, Paulo Fonseca's men look sharp, averaging 2.40 goals per match, while their defence—just 0.70 conceded—has been equally impressive. The absence of Endrick (suspended) is a blow given his January impact, and Afonso Moreira is also doubtful after a knock against Nantes. Even so, Lyon’s expected goals profile (1.96 xG at home vs 0.95 xGA) suggests a side in complete control of matches.
Les Aiglons, on the other hand, remain inconsistent, taking 1.60 PPG overall, and their away form is concerning with only 1.00 PPG and 2.00 goals conceded per match. Morgan Sanson’s doubtful status removes stability in a midfield that already leaks chances (2.05 xGA away). Their matches trend heavily toward goals: 80% BTTS overall and goals both scored and conceded regularly.
Historically, this fixture produces action—60% over 2.5 goals and 57% BTTS across the last 35 meetings. However, Home Win is our main betting tip due to Lyon's excellent form and Nice's poor away record. Over 2.5 goals and Lyon Over 1.5 goals markets boast big value as well.
This Ligue 1 match will be played on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 19:45.
What is our Lyon vs Nice prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Lyon 2 - 1 Nice
Lyon vs Nice Betting Tips
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -600 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -225 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Endrick @ 110 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Endrick @ 400 Odds
- To be Booked: Kayyum Alabi @ 120 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Lyon -0.5 @ -134 Odds
- European Handicap: Nice +2 @ -250 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -400 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Lyon to Win @ -334 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Lyon to Win/Lyon to Win @ 175 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Lyon - No @ -225 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Lyon vs Nice?
You can place your bets on Lyon vs Nice at the following bookmakers:
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View OfferLyon Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwwww | 3.00 |
| Home | wwwww | 3.00 |
| Away | wwwww | 3.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.10 | 3.00 | 3.20 |
| Scored | 2.40 | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| Conceded | 0.70 | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| BTTS | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.71 | 1.96 | 1.46 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.05 | 0.95 | 1.15 |
Nice Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wldwd | 1.60 |
| Home | dwdwd | 2.00 |
| Away | dlwl | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% | 25% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.20 | 3.00 | 3.50 |
| Scored | 1.70 | 1.83 | 1.50 |
| Conceded | 1.50 | 1.17 | 2.00 |
| BTTS | 80% | 83% | 75% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 17% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 17% | 25% |
| Expected Goals | 1.56 | 1.69 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.62 | 1.33 | 2.05 |
Lyon vs Nice Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Lyon (46%)
35 Matches
Nice (37%)
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