Marseille welcome Lens to the Stade Velodrome in a clash that could define the top of Ligue 1. Lens are leading the chase for the trophy, but with Marseille being tough to beat at home, we predict a 2-2 draw. OM are coming off a 5-2 demolition of Angers, but midfielder Bilal Nadir is doubtful after picking up a knock. Despite this, Marseille’s home form remains solid: 1.75 points per game, scoring 1.25 goals on average at home, though their overall scoring rate is boosted by high-scoring away performances (4.17 goals per away match). Defensively, OM have been leaky, conceding 1.25 goals per home game, while only keeping 25% clean sheets.
The League leaders, on the other hand, are unbeaten in five consecutive wins and have been flawless on the road (3.00 PPG away, 100% win rate). Key forward Odsonne Edouard is doubtful, but Lens have shown defensive steel, conceding only 0.60 goals per away match with 40% clean sheets. Historically, the H2H record is close, with Lens slightly ahead (9–7–2), and 50% of recent encounters saw both teams score.
Given the attacking potential of both sides, we believe that there is big value in betting on Over 2.5 goals. Additionally, BTTS and Lens or Draw bets seem tempting as the league leaders look unstoppable at the moment.
This Ligue 1 match will be played on Saturday 24 January 2026 at 20:05.
What is our Marseille vs Lens prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Marseille 2 - 2 Lens
Marseille vs Lens Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-2
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Anytime Goalscorer: Mason Greenwood @ 100 Odds
- To be booked: Facundo Medina @ 162 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 9.5
- Total Corners: 6 - 8 @ 175 Odds
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View OfferMarseille Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wldww | 2.00 |
| Home | wdwl | 1.75 |
| Away | wwdww | 2.17 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% | 67% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 4.20 | 2.50 | 5.33 |
| Scored | 3.00 | 1.25 | 4.17 |
| Conceded | 1.20 | 1.25 | 1.17 |
| BTTS | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| Expected Goals | 1.93 | 1.89 | 1.96 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.28 | 1.73 | 0.98 |
Lens Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwwww | 3.00 |
| Home | wwwww | 3.00 |
| Away | wwwww | 3.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.80 | 2.20 | 3.40 |
| Scored | 2.40 | 2.00 | 2.80 |
| Conceded | 0.40 | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| BTTS | 40% | 20% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 60% | 80% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 2.00 | 1.85 | 2.14 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.02 | 0.92 | 1.12 |
Marseille vs Lens Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Marseille (39%)
18 Matches
Lens (50%)
Burton
West Ham
Man City
Salford
Southampton
Leicester
Lazio
Atalanta
Aston Villa
Newcastle
Inter
Juventus
