Marseille vs Lyon Prediction & Betting Tips | 01/03/2026

Marseille vs Lyon Prediction and Betting Tips | 1 March 2026

Bojan Jovanovic • Football expert

25 February 2026 • 10:47 UTC • 1 min read

Marseille vs Lyon Prediction and Betting Tips 1 March 2026

All eyes will be on Stade Velodrome when Olympique Marseille and Olympique Lyon lock horns in the Ligue 1 derby. As both sides will adopt an attack-minded approach in Sunday’s showdown, we predict a 2-2 draw. OM aim to bounce back from a 2-0 loss to Brest and we are positive that they will go all guns blazing at Les Gones. The fact that Marseille have been scoring 2.00 goals per home game of late definitely supports our betting angle. The good news for the hosts is that defender Leonardo Balerdi is back from suspension.

Lyon, meanwhile, aim to bounce back from a 3-1 loss to Strasbourg. Midfielder Pavel Sulc is unlikely to feature against OM after picking up a hamstring injury at the weekend, but les Gones are surely capable of finding the net with January signing Endrick up front. You should bear in mind that Lyon have been scoring 2.00 goals per away game, boosting the chances of our betting tip landing.

Given the attacking potentials of both sides, Both Teams to Score seems like a sure bet. Additionally, Over 2.5 and Over 3.5 goals markets seem tempting.

This Ligue 1 match will be played on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 19:45.

What is our Marseille vs Lyon prediction?

Our prediction for this match: Marseille 2 - 2 Lyon

Marseille vs Lyon Betting Tips

Correct Score: 2-2 @ 1200 Odds
Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -143 Odds
Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -700 Odds
Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Over 3.5 Goals @ 200 Odds
Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -125 Odds
Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -400 Odds
Anytime Goalscorer: Mason Greenwood @ 137 Odds
First Goalscorer: Mason Greenwood @ 450 Odds
To be Booked: Facundo Medina @ 150 Odds
Asian Handicap: Lyon +1 @ -211 Odds
European Handicap: Marseille +1 @ -600 Odds
Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
Shots on Target (Away): Over 4.5
Shots on Target (Total): Over 9.5
Total Corners: 6 - 8 @ 175 Odds
Double Chance: X2 @ -120 Odds
Draw No Bet: Marseille to Win @ -225 Odds
Half Time/Full Time: X (Draw)/X (Draw) @ 450 Odds
Clean Sheet: Marseille - No @ -250 Odds

Where Can You Place Bets on Marseille vs Lyon?

You can place your bets on Marseille vs Lyon at the following bookmakers:

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18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+

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Marseille Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	dwldl	1.40
Home	lwwd	1.75
Away	wldll	1.17

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	40%	50%	33%
Average Goals Per Game	4.40	3.50	5.00
Scored	2.40	2.00	2.67
Conceded	2.00	1.50	2.33
BTTS	40%	50%	33%
Clean Sheets	20%	25%	17%
Failed to Score	40%	25%	50%
Expected Goals	1.77	1.31	2.08
Expected Goals Against	1.21	1.16	1.24

Lyon Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	wwwwl	2.70
Home	wwwww	3.00
Away	wwwwl	2.40

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	90%	100%	80%
Average Goals Per Game	3.00	2.80	3.20
Scored	2.10	2.20	2.00
Conceded	0.90	0.60	1.20
BTTS	50%	40%	60%
Clean Sheets	50%	60%	40%
Failed to Score	0%	0%	0%
Expected Goals	1.36	1.49	1.22
Expected Goals Against	1.19	1.08	1.30