Marseille look to extend their fine league form as they welcome Nantes to the Velodrome in what should be a dynamic and open matchup. With OM turning their stadium into a real fortress, we predict a 3-1 home win. Roberto De Zerbi’s side enter this clash on the back of strong momentum, having recorded dlwww in their last five, supported by a powerful attacking output of 2.30 goals per game and a 70% win rate overall. Their home numbers remain solid too, with a 2.00 PPG and only 0.80 goals conceded on average. Marseille’s expected-goals profile (xG 1.67, xGA 1.14) further highlights their balance. Both Nayef Aguerd and Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang are unavailable due to international duty, but the hosts have strength in depth.
Les Canaris, meanwhile, continue to struggle for consistency, especially at home, but they have shown some life away from La Beaujoire with two wins in their last five road outings. Despite scoring a respectable 1.80 goals per away match, their defensive issues persist, conceding 2.40 per game with no clean sheets this season. No fresh injury worries follow their 4-1 defeat to Angers.
Given Marseille's fine form, better metrics, and home advantage, we are tempted to bet on Home Win. Additionally, BTTS and Over 2.5 goals markets seem tempting as both teams average high goal totals.
This Ligue 1 match will be played on Sunday 4 January 2026 at 14:00.
What is our Marseille vs Nantes prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Marseille 3 - 1 Nantes
Marseille vs Nantes Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 3-1
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Goalscorer: Mason Greenwood @ 110 Odds
- To be booked: Jean-Kevin Duverne @ 200 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 7.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 9.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
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View OfferMarseille Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dlwww | 2.20 |
| Home | lwwdw | 2.00 |
| Away | wwlww | 2.40 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% | 80% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.10 | 2.40 | 3.80 |
| Scored | 2.30 | 1.60 | 3.00 |
| Conceded | 0.80 | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| BTTS | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.67 | 1.97 | 1.30 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.14 | 1.33 | 0.90 |
Nantes Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dlllw | 0.80 |
| Home | llldl | 0.20 |
| Away | wdllw | 1.40 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 0% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.80 | 3.40 | 4.20 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Conceded | 2.40 | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| BTTS | 70% | 60% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.08 | 1.30 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.84 | 1.75 | 1.94 |
Marseille vs Nantes Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Marseille (50%)
24 Matches
Nantes (25%)
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