Marseille aim to respond after their heavy 5-0 defeat to PSG, a result that exposed defensive gaps but did not fully reflect their recent form. OM look sharp up front and given Strasbourg's attacking potential, our prediction leans toward 2-2 draw. Roberto de Zerbi's men have been more stable at Velodrome with a 50% home win rate, scoring 1.50 goals per game and conceding the same amount. Their underlying data also shows balance, with a home expected goals of 1.30 and xGA of 1.24, suggesting that recent fluctuations stem more from individual errors than structural issues. Crucially, Marseille have no fresh injury problems.
Strasbourg, meanwhile, travel to Marseille in excellent form, having won three of their last four before a narrow 2-1 loss to Le Havre. Their away numbers are strong: 1.75 points per game, 3.00 goals scored per away match, and Le Racing have failed to score in 0% of away outings. However, the suspension of key defender Ismael Doukoure is a major blow for a back line that already concedes 1.00 goal per match. Strasbourg’s attacking efficiency is clear in their 1.63 away expected goals.
The H2H history leans strongly toward Marseille, unbeaten in 16 of the last 17 meetings. However, Both Teams to Score is our main betting tip as Strasbourg score freely and Marseille are strong at home. Additionally Over 2.5 and Over 3.5 goals markets seem tempting as both sides average high goal numbers.
This Ligue 1 match will be played on Saturday 14 February 2026 at 16:00.
What is our Marseille vs Strasbourg prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Marseille 2 - 2 Strasbourg
Marseille vs Strasbourg Betting Tips
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -500 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Over 3.5 Goals @ 162 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Mason Greenwood @ 120 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Mason Greenwood @ 450 Odds
- To be Booked: Guela Doue @ 140 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Strasbourg +1 @ -200 Odds
- European Handicap: Strasbourg +1 @ -111 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 9.5
- Total Corners: 6 - 8 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: X2 @ -111 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Marseille to Win @ -350 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: X (Draw)/X (Draw) @ 550 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Marseille - No @ -300 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Marseille vs Strasbourg?
You can place your bets on Marseille vs Strasbourg at the following bookmakers:
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View OfferMarseille Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wldwl | 1.40 |
| Home | llww | 1.50 |
| Away | wwldl | 1.33 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 4.40 | 3.00 | 5.33 |
| Scored | 2.40 | 1.50 | 3.00 |
| Conceded | 2.00 | 1.50 | 2.33 |
| BTTS | 40% | 25% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Expected Goals | 1.75 | 1.30 | 2.04 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.30 | 1.24 | 1.34 |
Strasbourg Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwlwl | 2.00 |
| Home | wwwlw | 2.17 |
| Away | dwwl | 1.75 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 67% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.30 | 2.83 | 4.00 |
| Scored | 2.30 | 1.83 | 3.00 |
| Conceded | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 80% | 83% | 75% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 17% | 25% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 17% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.64 | 1.65 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.47 | 1.29 | 1.74 |
Marseille vs Strasbourg Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Marseille (47%)
17 Matches
Strasbourg (6%)
Bournemouth
Sunderland
Newcastle
Everton
Liverpool
West Ham
Burnley
Brentford
Barcelona
Villarreal
Borussia Dortmund
Bayern Munich
