Metz head into Sunday's relegation six-pointer against Auxerre in dreadful form, having taken just 0.50 points per game across their last five league outings and an even worse 0.20 PPG at home. Given Auxerre's offensive struggles, we predict a goalless draw. Les Grenats' main issue remains defensive instability: they concede 2.60 goals per home match, with opponents consistently creating danger (1.47 xGA at home). With Benjamin Stambouli picking up a knock in the draw against Lille, youngster Believe Munongo is expected to return, adding energy but also inexperience in a high-pressure fixture. Metz have failed to score in 60% of home games, underlining their lack of cutting edge.
Auxerre aren’t much better in terms of results, but they at least appear more stable defensively. Christophe Pelissier's men have kept 30% clean sheets overall, and their xGA profile (1.45 overall) is slightly more reassuring. Scoring remains their major problem: they find the net in only 25% of away matches and average just 0.25 goals on the road. The last two Auxerre fixtures ended 0-0, signaling a conservative approach.
Given both teams’ attacking struggles and the high stakes, this has all the makings of a tight, low-quality affair. As both sides struggle up front, we are tempted to bet on Under 2.5 goals, alongside BTTS - No and Draw.
This Ligue 1 match will be played on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 16:15.
What is our Metz vs Auxerre prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Metz 0 - 0 Auxerre
Metz vs Auxerre Betting Tips
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -1200 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -350 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Ryan Rodin @ 210 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Ryan Rodin @ 600 Odds
- To be Booked: Lasso Coulibaly @ 175 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Metz +0.5 @ -191 Odds
- European Handicap: Metz +1 @ -200 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Under 2.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 1X @ -200 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Auxerre to Win @ -120 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: X (Draw)/X (Draw) @ 375 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Auxerre - Yes @ 200 Odds
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View OfferMetz Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lllld | 0.50 |
| Home | lllld | 0.20 |
| Away | lwdll | 0.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.00 | 3.40 | 2.60 |
| Scored | 1.00 | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Conceded | 2.00 | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| BTTS | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.15 | 1.38 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.55 | 1.47 | 1.63 |
Auxerre Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | llldd | 0.70 |
| Home | wllld | 0.83 |
| Away | dlld | 0.50 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 17% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.00 | 2.50 | 1.25 |
| Scored | 0.80 | 1.17 | 0.25 |
| Conceded | 1.20 | 1.33 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 40% | 50% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 33% | 25% |
| Failed to Score | 60% | 50% | 75% |
| Expected Goals | 1.28 | 1.53 | 0.92 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.45 | 1.46 | 1.42 |
Metz vs Auxerre Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Metz (25%)
8 Matches
Auxerre (63%)
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