Metz and Brest square off against each other in a highly-anticipated Ligue 1 clash as the home side look to escape the bottom of the table. As les Grenats do not seem to be at their sharpest, we predict a 1-0 away win. Metz are struggling, with just 13 points and a poor home record, failing to win in recent matches. They average 1.0 goal per game, conceding 2.2, and their expected goals of 1.09 highlight their struggles in creating quality chances. Despite this, their BTTS rate of 50% suggests they can find the net at times.
Les Pirates, meanwhile, have been in a fine form, fresh off a 2-0 win over Marseille with Ludovic Ajorque scoring a brace. The visitors average 2.4 goals per game while conceding 1.1, boasting a dominant 80% home win rate, though their away form is less impressive. Historically, their H2H clashes are balanced, with six wins each from 16 meetings and 63% of matches over 1.5 goals.
Considering Metz’s poor form and Brest’s momentum, we believe that there is big value in betting on Away Win, alongside Under 2.5 goals and Brest to Win to Nil.
This Ligue 1 match will be played on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 16:15.
What is our Metz vs Brest prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Metz 0 - 1 Brest
Metz vs Brest Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 0-1 @ 700 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): No @ 100 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -900 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -334 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals @ -125 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Under 1.5 Goals @ 250 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Ludovic Ajorque @ 140 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Ludovic Ajorque @ 450 Odds
- To be Booked: Moustapha Diop @ 260 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Brest 0 @ -182 Odds
- European Handicap: Brest +1 @ -300 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 2.5
- Total Corners: 6 - 8 @ 175 Odds
- Double Chance: X2 @ -300 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Brest to Win @ -175 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Brest to Win/Brest to Win @ 260 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Brest - Yes @ 175 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Metz vs Brest?
You can place your bets on Metz vs Brest at the following bookmakers:
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18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View OfferMetz Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lldll | 0.50 |
| Home | llldl | 0.20 |
| Away | wdlll | 0.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.20 | 4.00 | 2.40 |
| Scored | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 2.20 | 3.00 | 1.40 |
| BTTS | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.09 | 1.32 | 0.85 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.61 | 1.56 | 1.66 |
Brest Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ldwdw | 1.50 |
| Home | wwlww | 2.40 |
| Away | ldldd | 0.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 80% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.40 | 1.80 | 3.00 |
| Scored | 1.30 | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Conceded | 1.10 | 0.40 | 1.80 |
| BTTS | 50% | 0% | 100% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 80% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.29 | 1.31 | 1.27 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.47 | 1.28 | 1.66 |
Metz vs Brest Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Metz (38%)
16 Matches
Brest (38%)
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