Metz host Lyon in a Ligue 1 clash that pits one of the league’s struggling sides against a top-four contender. As les Gones look unstoppable at the moment, we predict a 2-1 away win. Les Grenats head into this match following a 2-1 defeat to Strasbourg, but have reinforcements with Sabaly and Diallo back from international duty and Koffi Kouao returning from suspension. The home side have been inconsistent, winning just 30% of their games this season and scoring 1.40 goals per match while conceding 1.80. At home, they’ve been slightly better offensively but remain vulnerable defensively, with only 20% clean sheets.
Lyon, meanwhile, are in scintillating form (six-game winning run in all competitions), including a 2-1 win over ten-man Brest, and have averaged 2.2 goals per game while conceding just 0.5 overall. Ghezzal and Abner Vinicius are doubtful, but Lyon’s squad depth should compensate. Historically, Lyon dominate this fixture, winning 11 of the last 16 meetings, with 94% of matches featuring over 1.5 goals.
Given Lyon's dominant H2H record and excellent current form, Away Win is our main betting pick for this Ligue 1 encounter, alongside Lyon to Score First and Over 1.5 goals (94% H2H).
This Ligue 1 match will be played on Sunday 25 January 2026 at 16:15.
What is our Metz vs Lyon prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Metz 0 - 2 Lyon
Metz vs Lyon Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 0-2
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): No
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Anytime Goalscorer: Endrick @ 137 Odds
- To be booked: Moustapha Diop @ 240 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
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View OfferMetz Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwdll | 1.00 |
| Home | wlll | 0.75 |
| Away | llwdl | 1.17 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.20 | 3.25 | 3.17 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 1.00 | 1.67 |
| Conceded | 1.80 | 2.25 | 1.50 |
| BTTS | 60% | 50% | 67% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 0% | 33% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 50% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.20 | 1.35 | 1.10 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.55 | 1.34 | 1.69 |
Lyon Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwwww | 2.50 |
| Home | wwwww | 3.00 |
| Away | dwlww | 2.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 100% | 60% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.70 | 2.60 | 2.80 |
| Scored | 2.20 | 2.20 | 2.20 |
| Conceded | 0.50 | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| BTTS | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.96 | 2.33 | 1.59 |
| Expected Goals Against | 0.94 | 0.85 | 1.03 |
Metz vs Lyon Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Metz (19%)
16 Matches
Lyon (69%)
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