A narrow Rennes 2-1 correct score prediction feels justified based on both teams’ recent trends and the visitors’ stronger underlying numbers. Metz come into this matchup with solid home form — unbeaten in their last three at their own ground and averaging just 1.00 goal conceded per home game — but their overall defensive record remains fragile, allowing 2.30 goals on average. Rennes, meanwhile, arrive in far better rhythm, taking 10 points from their last four matches and scoring at least twice in each of their last five outings, backed by an impressive 1.63 expected goals per match. There are no fresh injury worries in the home team.
The H2H history strongly leans towards the visitors as well: Rennes have won nine of the last 13 meetings, often finding ways to exploit Metz’s defensive gaps. With 80% BTTS involvement for Rennes this season and Metz scoring in four of their last five overall, the matchup profiles as an open contest with chances at both ends. With former Monaco forward Breel Embolo finding his goal-scoring touch of late, the visitors should look sharp up front in Friday's clash.
Based on the numbers, the most consistent angles are Rennes Draw No Bet, Over 2.5 Goals, and Rennes to Score 2+ Goals.
This Ligue 1 match will be played on Friday 28 November 2025 at 19:45.
What is our Metz vs Rennes prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Metz 1 - 2 Rennes
Metz vs Rennes Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-2
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Goalscorer: Esteban Lepaul @ 105 Odds
- To be booked: Moustapha Diop @ 160 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
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View OfferMetz Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwwwl | 1.10 |
| Home | ddlww | 1.60 |
| Away | lllwl | 0.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.50 | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| Scored | 1.20 | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Conceded | 2.30 | 1.00 | 3.60 |
| BTTS | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.01 | 1.05 | 0.98 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.72 | 1.39 | 2.04 |
Rennes Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ldwww | 1.70 |
| Home | ddlww | 1.83 |
| Away | dddw | 1.50 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% | 25% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.40 | 3.50 | 3.25 |
| Scored | 2.10 | 2.33 | 1.75 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 1.17 | 1.50 |
| BTTS | 80% | 83% | 75% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 17% | 25% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 17% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.63 | 1.96 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.36 | 1.25 | 1.52 |
Metz vs Rennes Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Metz (8%)
13 Matches
Rennes (69%)
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