Metz and Toulouse go head to head in a Ligue 1 game that could see les Grenats fight to escape the Ligue 1 relegation zone. However, our prediction leans toward a 1-0 away win as les Pitchouns will not have a better chance than this to get back on course. Les Grenats remain rooted at the bottom with only 13 points, suffering a 3-0 loss to Lens last weekend. Metz have struggled all season, averaging 0.20 points per game, scoring just 0.50 goals per match, and conceding 2.30, with an xG of 1.12. They have failed to score in 60% of recent games and kept clean sheets only 10% of the time, highlighting defensive fragility.
Toulouse arrive mid-table but in poor form, losing four of their last five matches. Les Pitchouns score 1.20 goals per match and concede 0.90, earning 1.20 points per game overall. Injury concerns affect several players including Azizi, Cresswell, Francis, Magri, and Messali, which may hinder their attacking output. Nonetheless, there are no fresh injury concerns in the visiting team.
Given Toulouse's promising away form and Metz's struggles throughout the season, Away Win is our main betting tip for this Ligue 1 matchup, with additional value on Under 3.5 and 2.5 goals as Metz’s low scoring record may keep the game tight.
This Ligue 1 match will be played on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 16:15.
What is our Metz vs Toulouse prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Metz 0 - 1 Toulouse
Metz vs Toulouse Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 0-1 @ 1100 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): No @ -120 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -1000 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -350 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals @ -134 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Under 1.5 Goals @ 240 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Frank Magri @ 187 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Frank Magri @ 550 Odds
- To be Booked: Charlie Cresswell @ 200 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Toulouse 0 @ -236 Odds
- European Handicap: Toulouse +2 @ -275 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 2.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -334 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Toulouse to Win @ 240 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Toulouse to Win/Toulouse to Win @ 700 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Toulouse - Yes @ 350 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Metz vs Toulouse?
You can place your bets on Metz vs Toulouse at the following bookmakers:
18+. GambleAware.org. New GB customers only. Min £10 debit card deposit. Place a £10+ bet at Evens or greater (2.0) each leg on Sports within 7 days. Opt in for £20 in free bets. Valid for 7 days. Geographical restrictions and T&C’s apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of bets to value of qualifying deposit. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply. Registration required. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+. New customers using Promo code TOP30 only, Min £10/€10/$10 stake, min odds 1.5, free bets paid as 2 x £15/€15/$15, free bets credited after settlement of first qualifying bet, free bets will expire 30 days after the qualifying bet is settled, payment method/player/country restrictions apply. See full terms below. Play responsibly. Gamblingtherapy.org #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+ New UK+ROI customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4 x £/€5 free bets (selected sportsbook markets only, valid 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View OfferMetz Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dlllldllll | 0.20 |
| Home | lldll | 0.20 |
| Away | dllll | 0.20 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.80 | 3.20 | 2.40 |
| Scored | 0.50 | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| Conceded | 2.30 | 2.60 | 2.00 |
| BTTS | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Expected Goals | 1.12 | 1.59 | 0.66 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.61 | 1.31 | 1.91 |
Toulouse Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwdwlldldl | 1.20 |
| Home | wdwdl | 1.60 |
| Away | wllld | 0.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.10 | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| Scored | 1.20 | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 0.90 | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| BTTS | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.74 | 1.90 | 1.58 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.08 | 0.99 | 1.16 |
Metz vs Toulouse Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Metz (20%)
10 Matches
Toulouse (40%)
Ukraine
Sweden
Poland
Albania
Italy
Northern Ireland
Brazil
France
Bolivia
Suriname
Colombia
Croatia
